Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers
MLB Playoffs Prediction: Detroit Tigers -141 odds (October 13th 2011)
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Justin Verlander and the Detroit Tigers are not going to go down without a fight. Look for one of the most dominant performances of the entire season today from Verlander as he keeps his team alive with a Game 5 victory at home. Verlander is 25-6 with a 2.56 ERA and 0.943 WHIP in 37 starts this season. He’ll be up against C.J. Wilson, who came into the postseason as the Rangers Ace but has pitched anything like it. Wilson is 0-1 with a 7.45 ERA in two postseason starts, allowing eight earned runs, three homers, and 18 base runners in 9 2/3 innings. Verlander has had success against Texas, while Wilson has not been effective when facing the Tigers. Verlander is 6-3 with a 2.60 ERA and 1.107 WHIP in 10 lifetime starts versus Texas, and Wilson is 0-0 with a 4.76 ERA and 1.852 WHIP in two lifetime starts versus Detroit. Both of Wilson’s starts against the Tigers came this season. In his last home start against Texas on 4/11/2011, Verlander pitched a complete game while allowing just two earned runs and seven base runners in 9 innings. Verlander is 10-0 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons. The Rangers are 2-8 in their last 10 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150. The Tigers are 7-0 in their last 7 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Detroit is 7-0 in Verlander’s last 7 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. Take Detroit on the Money Line.
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New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers
2011 MLB Playoff Pick: New York Yankees -160 odds (October 6th 2011)
The New York Yankees forced a Game 5 after a 10-1 victory over Detroit in Game 4. I like their chances of advancing to the ALCS tonight with a win over the Tigers behind Ivan Nova. The Yankees clearly have the better, more reliable starter on the mound in this one folks. Nova led major league rookies in wins with a 16-3 record and 3.66 ERA. In his postseason debut, he took over for C.C. Sabathia in the completion of Game 1 and pitched shutout ball until the ninth inning of the Yankees’ 9-3 win. Nova went 1-0 with a 2.11 ERA in his final three starts of the regular season, and he has simply picked up right where he left off in the postseason. Doug Fister gave up six runs and seven hits in 4 2/3 innings after replacing Justin Verlander in the opener. Fister is 1-3 with a 7.15 ERA in four career outings against New York. He has given up 18 earned runs and 5 home runs in 22 2/3 innings. Detroit is 3-16 in road games vs. teams outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. New York is 22-5 as a home favorite of -150 to -175 this season. The Yankees are 6-0 in Nova’s last 6 starts as a home favorite of -151 to -200. New York is 17-5 in their last 22 playoff games as a favorite. Bet the Yankees Thursday. Get more MLB picks from Jack Jones at Touthouse.com.
New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers
Prediction: Over 7 -110 odds (October 3rd 2011)
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There’s no denying that Justin Verlander and C.C. Sabathia are two of the best starters in the game. As a result though, they are both getting a lot of respect with such a low total set in Game 3 of the ALDS tonight. Both starters have been sub-par when facing their respective opponents throughout their careers. Sabathia is 15-12 with a 4.54 ERA in 33 career starts against Detroit. Verlander is 4-3 with a 4.14 ERA and 1.556 WHIP in 12 career starts against the Yankees. Verlander has given up 10 earned runs over 18 innings in his last four starts against New York for a 5.00 ERA, not once making it past the 6th inning. All four of those contests saw eight or more combined runs. Sabathia is 1-2 with a 4.82 ERA in his last five starts against the Tigers. He has yielded 15 earned runs, 5 home runs and 39 base runners in 28 innings over this span. The Yankees are hitting .263 and scoring 5.4 RPG in all games this season. The Tigers are hitting .286 and scoring 5.2 RPG against left-handed starters this year. The OVER is 9-2 in Sabathia’s last 11 starts vs. American League Central. The OVER is 7-2-2 in Yankees last 11 playoff road games. The OVER is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter. The OVER is 33-15-4 in Tigers last 52 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. The OVER is 3-0-1 in Verlander’s last 4 starts vs. Yankees. Bet the OVER in Game 3 Monday. Get more MLB picks from Jack Jones at Touthouse.com.
New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers
Pick: Detroit Tigers +125 odds (September 30th 2011)
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The Tigers and Yankees turn to their aces for game one of the ALDS in New York on Friday. CC Sabathia is 19-8 with a 3.00 ERA in 33 starts. He’s given up seven runs and 25 hits over his last 19 innings of work. The lefty has faced the Tigers twice this season allowing seven runs and 16 hits over 13 innings. Wilson Betemit (3-5), Miguel Cabrera (9-16), Carlos Guillen (13-44), Austin Jackson (4-14), Magglio Ordonez (19-71) and Ramon Santiago (7-24) all have good numbers against the Yankees’ pitcher. The Tigers are 31-20 against left-handed starters hitting .287 in the process. They are hitting .325 in their last seven putting up over seven runs per game in that span and the Detroit continues to have the hottest offense in baseball in the month of September.
Justin Verlander will be the AL Cy Young and he is also getting consideration for MVP. He is an incredible 24-5 with a 2.40 ERA this season. The righty has given up just five runs and 17 hits over his last three starts. He has also faced the Yankees twice allowing six runs and 11 hits in 12 innings of work with both starts coming early in the season. Robinson Cano (4-21), Curtis Granderson (1-6), Andruw Jones (1-5), A-Rod (4-18), Nick Swisher (8-46) and Mark Teixeira (3-22) have all have struggled against the Tigers’ ace. Granted the Yankees have coasted a bit down the stretch, but the bottom line is they are hitting just .230 in their last seven games. They will face a Tigers’ bullpen that has a 3.66 ERA on the road this year, blowing only 4 saves in 32 chances. This game presents a rare chance to get the best pitcher in baseball (Verlander) at an underdog price tonight. Get more MLB picks from Steve Merril at Touthouse.com.