New Orleans Saints vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Prediction: New Orleans Saints -6 -110 odds (October 16th 2011)
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A Tampa Bay Buccaneers squad that ranks 28th in the league in scoring with 17.4 ppg won’t have enough fire power to keep pace with the explosive Saints, who rank 5th in the league with 31.4 ppg. Tampa’s best chance is to grind this one out. It needs to use its running game to eat clock, but it will have trouble doing so without LeGarrette Blount, who is expected to miss at least a month with a knee injury. If the Bucs are unable to move the football, a defense that ranks 23rd in the league with 378 yards allowed per contest will be at the mercy of Drew Brees and company. The Tampa stop unit allowed San Francisco to rack up 418 yards of offense in Week 5. The 49ers entered that contest averaging just 270.8 yards per game. It certainly gets no easier for the Buccaneers as New Orleans ranks second in the league with 452 yards per game. Tampa Bay’s biggest challenge is slowing down Brees, who leads the NFC with 1,769 passing yards. The Bucs are 4-13 ATS in home games since the beginning of the 2009 season, and they are 0-8 ATS when listed as a home underdog of 7 points or less during this span. They are losing by an average score of 28.6 to 12.3 in these 8 instances. Take the Saints.

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