Denver Broncos vs. Miami Dolphins
Week 7 NFL Pick: Denver Broncos -1 (October 23rd 2011)
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Everything is working in Denver’s favor heading into this game. It’s essentially going to be a home game for new starting quarterback, Tim Tebow. The Dolphins have sold an extra 20,000 tickets ever since Tebow was named the starting quarterback for the Broncos. Tebow returns to Sun Life Stadium where he won a high school championship and a national championship in college. Before the game, the Dolphins will honor Tebow and the rest of the 2009 Gators’ championship team. Tebow has been solid when given a chance. He accounted for 850 total yards and seven total touchdowns while throwing just three picks while getting the start in the final three games of 2010. He saw his first significant action this season in a 29-24 loss to San Diego on Oct. 9, completing 4 of 10 passes for 79 yards and one touchdown while rushing for another score. He nearly led the Broncos back from a 10-26 deficit. “He’s just a baller, an all-out baller,” linebacker Joe Mays said. “Some people may call him unorthodox, but at the end of the day, he gets the job done.” While the Broncos traded away Brandon Lloyd, they are expected to get two of their best receivers back this week. Demaryius Thomas and Eddie Royal return from injury to join Eric Decker, who has emerged as their top receiver. Miami is 0-5 on the season and they are in a much worse situation than Denver with Matt Moore as their starting quarterback. The Dolphins rank 30th in the league with 15.0 points per game and are tied for 30th with six touchdowns. The defense is giving up 390.8 yards – seventh-most in the league. The Dolphins have historically been a terrible bet at home. The Dolphins are 17-47-1 ATS in their last 65 home games. Miami is 1-11 at Sun Life Stadium since Week 16 in 2009. Take the Broncos Sunday. Get more NFL picks from Black Widow at Touthouse.com.
Denver Broncos vs. Miami Dolphins
Week 7 NFL Prediction: Denver Broncos +3 (October 23rd 2011)
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The Denver Broncos (1-4 SU, 1-4 ATS) have lost three consecutive games while failing to cover the spread each time out. The Broncos are coming off an uninspiring 29-24 home loss to San Diego in Week 5 as a 3.5-point home underdog, dropping them to 1-4 ATS on the season. As bad as the Broncos have been, they’ve still been better than the reeling Miami Dolphins (0-5 SU, 0-4-1 ATS). The Fins remained winless on the season by falling to the New York Jets 24-6 as a 7-point road underdog. Still, Miami is looking pretty good coming into this contest when you look at the fact that they’ve gone 6-0 ATS in their last half-dozen meetings against the Broncos. Beloved quarterback Tim Tebow will make his first start for the Broncos in this contest while Miami counters with mediocre veteran Matt Moore (a step up from Chad Henne). The Underdog in this series is 4-0 ATS in the L/4 meetings and I like Denver to get the big road win here as Tebow gives the team a much-needed boost in energy and confidence. The Broncos are averaging 21.0 points per contest while the offensively-challenged Dolphins are ranked 30th in scoring, averaging just 15.0 points per contest. I say back the Denver Broncos to win and cash in against the spread as a slight road dog against the winless Fins. Get more week 7 NFL predictions from our experts at Touthouse.com.
New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins
Prediction: New York Jets -6.5 (October 17th 2011)
The New York Jets return home after a brutal 3-game road trip with losses to the Raiders, Ravens and Patriots. The Jets have been a completely different team at home, going 2-0 while outscoring opponents 29.5 to 13.5 on average. The winless Miami Dolphins come into town tonight and things don’t appear to be getting any better for them even with a bye week. Miami is going to have to start Matt Moore at quarterback, and they may also be without starting running back Daniel Thomas for this one as he deals with a hamstring injury. New York is very healthy coming into this one, and C Nick Mangold is expected to play Monday. His absence on their road trip was a big reason why the Jets did not fare well, because he is arguably the most important piece of their offense as he makes all the calls. The Dolphins are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Miami is 13-28-1 ATS in their last 42 vs. a team with a losing record. The Jets are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 vs. a team with a losing record. While the Dolphins realize they have almost no chance of making the playoffs, the Jets believe they can still get in and this is a must-win game tonight if they are going to. Bet the Jets Monday.
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