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Posts Tagged ‘Miami Marlins’

Nationals vs. Marlins MLB Betting Pick from Dave Price: August 1st 2017

Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins
MLB Betting Pick: Nationals -1.5 runs -125 odds (August 1st 2017)

I believe it’s a safe bet that the Washington Nationals will win by 2 runs or more against the Miami Marlins Tuesday night.  Ace Max Scherzer gets the ball and he’s 12-5 with a 2.23 ERA and 0.85 WHIP in 21 starts, and 8-2 with a 1.81 ERA and 0.83 WHIP in 12 road starts this year.  Chris O’Grady makes just his 5th start of the season after going 2-1 with a 3.68 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in 4 starts for the Marlins.  Scherzer is 6-3 with a 3.50 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in 11 lifetime starts vs. Miami.  The Nationals are 23-6 in Scherzer’s last 29 starts vs. NL East opponents.  Washington is 24-5 in Scherzer’s last 29 road starts off a win, outscoring foes by 2.5 RPG in this spot.  Take Washington on the Run Line.

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Reds vs. Marlins MLB Odds & Betting Pick from Teddy Covers: July 27th 2017

Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins
MLB Betting Pick: Miami -127 odds (July 27th 2017)

The Cincinnati Reds are a dead nuts ‘bet-against’ team right now, a hopeless squad that has thrown in the towel on the 2017 campaign.  Cinci opened the second half with a 2-8 homestand.  They’ve gone 0-3 since hitting the highway, losing all three games in non-competitive fashion, by multi-run margins.

Quotes like this one from manager Bryan Price don’t inspire much confidence from this bettor – his entire focus is on evaluating talent for next year, not winning games this year: “These last 10 weeks are very important because I think we have to have a vision of what our starting rotation is going to look like in 2018, but we have to have that vision in 2017. I think it’s going to be very difficult to come in and say, talk about, being really competitive if the vision isn’t — if we don’t know what 2018 is going to look like, at least from the outset.”

The Reds pitching staff is in shambles, bad news against a Marlins team that just pounded out a season high 22 runs last night in Texas.  The Reds starters have combined to rank dead last in MLB in innings pitched, ERA and FIP.  As a result, their bullpen is completely gassed, throwing gas on fires instead of putting them out.  And Price is trying to stretch out his starters, leaving them in games where a strong bullpen would have their collective backs.

Robert Stephenson’s first start of the season came last week, against the same Marlins lineup he’ll face today.  It wasn’t pretty, as he allowed eight hits, two walks and five earned runs in 5.1 innings of work, taking the loss in the process.  In nine big league starts over the past two years, Stephenson has recorded an out in the sixth inning only once.  Like many young pitchers, he’s been awful on the highway, with a 10.97 ERA away from home; an easy ‘fade’ on the highway tonight.

The betting markets aren’t particularly enamored with Marlins starter Chris O’Grady – hence the cheap price to support Miami this evening.  O’Grady is no ace in the making, but he’s allowed three runs in each of his first three big league starts, keeping his team in the game.  Cinci’s lineup isn’t hitting right now, producing four runs or less ten times in 13 games since the Break.  Price: “We don’t have anybody who’s on fire.  We haven’t gotten to our power in the second half, which had been our strength in terms of driving the ball for extra-base hits.”  Take the Marlins.

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Miami Marlins vs. Texas Rangers Over-Under Pick from Will Rogers: July 25th 2017

Miami Marlins vs. Texas Rangers
MLB Over-Under Pick: Under 10.5 runs -110 odds (July 25th 2017)

The set-up: The Miami Marlins are pretty much all but out of playoff contention, sitting 14 games back of the Nats in the NL East and 11 games out of a wild card spot with a plethora of teams ahead of them. However, they are capable of playing spoilers, as after Monday’s 4-0 win at Texas, the Marlins have won eight of their last 10 on the road. Two Giancarlo Stanton HRs led the way last night, giving him six in his last seven games to move into a tie with Aaron Judge for the major league lead with 32. Miami continues its three-game interleague series at Texas on Tuesday against the Rangers, who have no chance to catch the Astros in the AL West (sit 18 games back) but like most AL teams, remain in crowded wild card field just 3 1/2 games out of the final playoff spot. However, it’s a YUGE field.

The pitching matchup: Dan Straily (7-5 & 3.49 ERA) steps to the mound for Miami and Cole Hamels (4-1 & 3.78 ERA) for Texas. Straily suffered his first loss in 1 1/2 months in his last start against Philadelphia, allowing four runs and a season high-tying nine nine hits over five innings, as the Marlins lost 10-3 at home. It was the first time in seven outings that Straily permitted more than three runs and snapped his seven-start unbeaten string (he had been 3-0 and Miami5-2 in that stretch ). Straily is 4-3 record with a 4.25 ERA in 10 career starts vs. Texas (teams are 4-6). Hamels took a scoreless streak of 21 innings into his last start but it came to a jarring end in Baltimore, when he was battered for seven runs on nine hits over 5 1/3 innings. It was the fifth start since coming off the disabled list for Hamels, who was victimized by three HRs. Hamels has sure seen a lot of the Marlins in his career (he spent nine-plus season with the Phillies), going 9-15 with a 3.39 ERA in 37 starts (teams are 14-23).

The pick: Both Straily and Hamels were in excellent form prior to their last outings and I’ll vote (bet) on bounce-back efforts here for both pitchers. Play the Under.