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Posts Tagged ‘Miami Marlins’

MLB Pick: Will Rogers betting the Mariners -151 odds over the Marlins on April 19th 2017

Miami Marlins vs. Seattle Mariners
MLB Betting Pick: Seattle -151 odds (April 19th 2017)

The set-up: The 8-6 Miami Marlins and the 6-9 Seattle Mariners play the rubber game of this three-game IL series with this afternoon game at Safeco. Seattle won 6-1 on Monday but Miami’s Wei-Yin Chen, Brad Ziegler and Kyle Barraclough combined on a one-hit shutout in Tuesday’s 5-0 Marlins victory.

The pitching matchup: Edinson Volquez (0-1 & 3.45 ERA) and Felix Hernandez (1-1 & 2.95 ERA) will square off. Volquez is winless in his three 2017 starts (team is 1-2) and he has only pitched more than five innings in one of the outings. However, he never has lost to the Mariners, compiling a 5-0 record and 2.66 ERA in eight career appearances (seven starts / teams are 5-2). Hernandez is off his best outing of the season, beating Texas 2-1 last Friday, allowing one run on six hits in 7 1/3 innings. He’s made just two career starts vs. Miami but is 2-0 with a 2.35 ERA and 0.72 WHIP.

The pick: The Mariners were shut out last night (held to just one hit) but they had won four in a row prior to that. Seattle leaves after the game for a 10-game road trip, not returning home until May. I’ll take “King Felix” over Volquez, any day.

Miami Marlins vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Odds & Pick: April 17th 2017

Miami Marlins vs. Seattle Mariners
MLB Betting Pick: Seattle -138 odds (April 17th 2017)

The Miami Marlins ended their four-game series with division rival the New York Mets, by winning three consecutive contests, after a 9-8 Thursday loss in 16 innings. Sunday’s 4-2 victory was capped by a walk-off HR by rookie J.T. Riddle, his first career home run. The Mariners can relate to Miami’s recent surge, having won three straight of their own, after scoring in the bottom of the ninth inning Sunday afternoon to outlast Texas 8-7. The Marlins head to Seattle for this three-game IL series with the Mariners at 7-5, while the Mariners are now 5-8, after a 2-8 start to the 2017 season.

Tom Koehler (0-0, 3.27 ERA) will take the mound for Miami on Monday night, opposed by Seattle lefty, Ariel Miranda (0-1, 5.06 ERA). Koehler had a quality start in a no-decision against the Atlanta Braves on Wednesday but also served up two HRs and struck out just one batter. He has never faced the Mariners but is 6-7 with a 4.50 ERA in 18 career interleague starts. Both of Miranda’s two starts this year have come against Houston. He first limited the Astros to two runs in five innings on the road but back in Seattle was reached for four runs on seven hits and two walks with five strikeouts in 5 2/3 innings. He has never met the Marlins and is 5-3 in his career while pitching in Seattle.

The Marlins swept three straight in their previous meeting with the Mariners in 2014 but they have not visited Safeco Field since 2011. Koehler has spent his entire major league career with Miami and owns a 16-25 record with a 4.49 ERA in his career away from home. Miranda is more of an unknown but off three straight home wins, I’ll back Seattle tonight up against the Marlins, who travel cross-country off a satisfying three straight wins over the Mets.

MLB Picks: Bet the Miami Marlins and the Kansas City Royals on August 29th 2016

Miami is worth a look here against the Mets on Monday. I have no problem laying this big number on the Marlins with Jose Fernandez on the mound, especially given how he’s dominated New York over his career. Fernandez has faced the Mets 7 times and has posted a 1.54 ERA and 0.951 WHIP against them, with Miami winning 6 of those 7 starts. Making this an even stronger play is the fact that the Mets are sending out rookie Rafael Montero, who has made just 1 big league start the past two years. I’ll take my chances that Montero doesn’t match Fernandez in this one. Give me the Mets -151! -Brandon Lee

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MLB Pick: Kansas City Royals +105
I’m backing the KC Royals on Monday. Kansas City has won 17 of its last 21 games and now the Royals go home where they are 40-21 this season. Michael Pineda is 6-10 with a 5.02 ERA and he gave up five runs and seven hits in 5 1/3 innings his last outing at Seattle. Pineda is 2-6 on the road and he has given up six runs and six hits in 5 2/3 innings against the Royals this season. Last year against Kansas City, Pineda allowed six runs and 16 hits in 12 innings. Seven players on the Royals roster are batting at least .300 against the right-hander. Dillon Gee has allowed the Yankees just one run with three hits in 5 1/3 innings this year. Kansas City has won 14 of its last 17 against right-handed starters and we’ll back there here. I’m backing the KC Royals on Monday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer. Get more MLB picks from our handicappers each day at

MLB Underdog Pick: Teddy Covers betting the Kansas City Royals +200 on August 24th 2016

ROYALS BETTINGKansas City Royals vs. Miami Marlins
MLB Betting Prediction: Kansas City +200 odds (August 24th 2016)

I understand how well Jose Fernandez has pitched at home in his career, compiling a ridiculous 26-2 mark with a 1.62 ERA at Marlins Park. His numbers have been steady and consistent throughout the 2016 campaign as well: 9-2 with a 2.07 ERA in Miami.

The betting attention that Fernandez has attracted during this long term run of excellence has resulted in prices like the one we’re seeing here, with Miami priced higher than 2:1 to win tonight’s game.

There’s one big problem with those long term, aggregate numbers – they don’t factor in current form. Let’s not forget that Fernandez made only 11 starts last year and eight starts in 2014, dealing with the aftermath of Tommy John surgery. He’s already thrown 141.2 innings this year, far more than in either of the last two seasons. And Fernandez sure looks like he’s wearing down right now. Miami is 0-4 in his last four starts (all as favorites, including a home loss at -240), and Fernandez has an ERA of 6.00 during that span. That’s not what I’m looking for out of my $2 favorites!

Royals starter Dillon Gee attracts ZERO betting market attention, a ‘league average’ pitcher personified. But Gee is coming off his best start of the season, needing only 84 pitches to throw seven innings of one run, five hit ball against the Twins. And there’s a lot more to this game than just a starting pitching matchup that may not be in the Marlins favor as much as the markets seem to think it is.

The Royals are the hottest team in baseball, winners of nine straight and 13 of their last 14. KC is only four games out of the Wild Card spot, surging right now. Marlins injured sluggers Giancarlo Stanton and Justin Bour (a duo with 40 home runs this season; the rest of the team has 66) were just joined by infielder Derek Dietrich on the DL. There’s a chance that their last remaining slugger Marcel Ozuna could miss tonight as well, after getting pulled from the game last night due to an undisclosed ‘family emergency’.

KC still has a truly elite bullpen, ranked #1 in all of MLB in ERA again this year after slamming the door shut again last night in the 1-0 thriller. And, of course, KC has been playing tough games in hostile environments on their way to the World Series over the past two Octobers. Miami hasn’t finished above .500 since 2009 and their last playoff game came back in 2003; not exactly a ‘battle tested’ team in these type of ‘playoff atmosphere’ games. That’s an awful lot of fodder for a play on KC tonight as big underdogs…. Take the Royals.