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Posts Tagged ‘Milwaukee Brewers’

Reds vs. Brewers MLB Betting Odds & Pick from Larry Ness: September 27th 2017

Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers
MLB Prediction: Milwaukee -156 odds (September 27th 2017)

The Cubs were looking to clinch the NL’s Central Division with either a win over St Louis or a Milwaukee loss against Cincinnati last night. However, the Cubs fell 8-7 to the Cards while the Brewers held off the Reds, 7-6 (Milwaukee had a four-run first!). Chicago’s magic number remains just one, so any realistic playoff hopes for Milwaukee lie in catching the Rockies for the NL’s second wild card spot. Tuesday’s win left the Brewers 1 1/2 games behind the Rockies for the second NL wild card spot (Milwaukee has five games remaining and Colorado just four). The Brewers are also just one game ahead of the Cards and will play their final three games of the season against the Cardinals in St Louis, this weekend.

That means that Milwaukee can ill-afford a misstep against Cincy, as it plays its final two games of the 2017 season at home tonight and Thursday afternoon against the Reds. Cincinnati is just 66-91, better than only the 63-95 Phillies and 62-96 Giants in the National League. Homer Bailey (5-9, 6.96 ERA) continues his disappointing season in getting the start for Cincy, while the Brewers send rookie Brandon Woodruff (2-2, 3.76 ERA), who makes his eighth career start. Injuries have limited Bailey to 17 starts in 2017 and not much has gone right for a pitcher who owns two career no-hitters. He not only owns a bloated 6.96 ERA but has a 1.75 WHIP and opponents are batting .318 against him. Bailey comes in 6-9 with a 4.87 ERA in 25 career starts vs Milwaukee (Reds are 12-13). Woodruff allowed just four ERs in his first four major-league starts but has allowed 13 ERs on 20 hits over 17 innings (6.88 ERA) during his last three outings. Woodruff has never faced the Reds and I’d be lying if I said that his home/away dichotomy is not a concern. The Brewers are 0-4 in his home starts (5.16 ERA) but 3-0 in his road starts (2.00 ERA)!

Then again, Bailey’s the ‘perfect’ mound opponent (he stinks!) and let’s not forget that the Reds have dropped seven consecutive games and are only 27-49 on the road here in 2017Milwaukee has virtually no margin of error remaining. A win here is a MUST! That’s the bet.

Pittsburgh vs. Milwaukee Betting Odds & Pick from Larry Ness: September 19th 2017

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Betting Pick: Milwaukee -116 odds (September 19th 2017)

The Milwaukee Brewers won 3-0 at Pittsburgh last night, in the opener of a three-game set. The victory moved the Brewers within 3 1/2 games of the idle Chicago Cubs in the NL Central and two games in back of the Colorado Rockies for the second wild-card spot. Milwaukee is trying to chase down a playoff spot (NL Central title or wild card) and has now won EIGHT of 10, while scoring a  total of 60 runs. The problem is, the Cubs return to the field of play tonight at Tampa Bay, owners of a six-game winning streak. As for the Rockies, their next nine games are against teams with losing records. Speaking of losing records, the Pirates have lost six in a row and 11 of their last 12 games, scoring two or fewer runs in seven of their last eight games.

Chase Anderson (10-3, 2.88 ERA) takes the mound for Milwaukee and will be opposed by Pittsburgh’s Trevor Williams (6-8, 4.26 ERA). Anderson has been a nice surprise for the Brewers, although the team has gone just 2-7 in his no-decisions, leaving the Milwaukee a disappointing 12-10 in all his starts, despite that excellent 2.88 ERA. Anderson has pitched well against Pittsburgh in his career, going 5-2 with a 3.20 ERA in 10 starts (teams are 6-4).

Williams lost to St Louis in his last outing and has dropped four of his last five decisions. He lasted just 4.1 innings against the Cardinals in his last outing, marking the third time in his last five outings that he has pitched five or fewer innings. Williams allowed three runs on six hits in six innings during a no-decision on June 21 in his lone career start against Milwaukee (0-0 with a 4.50 ERA / team is 0-1).

The Brewers are not going down without a fight, while the Pirates seeming can’t wait for October 1 (last day of the regular season). Anderson has won back-to-back starts, as well as three consecutive decisions, plus is 2-0 with a 2.43 ERA in two 2017 start against the Pirates. I’ll go with the road team.