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Jets vs. Saints Week 15 NFL Point Spread Pick from Will Rogers: December 17th 2017

New York Jets vs. New Orleans Saints
Week 15 NFL Point Spread Pick: Under 47.5 points (December 17th 2017)
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The set-up: After opening 0-2, many (most) believed the Jets w ere on their way to battling the Browns and 49ers for the NFL’s No. 1 pick in the 2018 draft. However, the Jets have been surprisingly competitive, going 5-8 SU but 7-5-1 ATS. The Jets will visit New Orleans this Sunday, looking to play the role of spoiler against the 9-4 Saints, who currently own the tie-breaker over the Panthers in the AFC South. The Saints have missed the playoffs for three straight seasons but are very close to ending that drought here in 2017.

NY Jets: The Jets were frustrated by last Sunday;s 23-0 loss in Denver, a defeat which ended the Broncos’ 0-8 SU & ATS run. However, the Jets lost more than a game in Denver, as Josh McCown left the game with a broken hand, likely ending his season. He passed for only 46 yards (on 6 of 12 passing) plus an interception. McCown has been a pleasant surprise, completing 67.3% with 18 TDS and nine INTs (94.5 QB rating). Bryce Petty threw for 14 yards on 2 of 9 passing in relief and is expected to start against the Saints. New York is averaging only 103.2 YPG on the ground, ranking 21st. The Jets are averaging 20.5 PPG (20th), while ranking 21st in both points allowed (23.9 per) and total defense (347.3 YPG).

New Orleans: The Saints opened 0-2 just like the Jets but then ripped off eight straight wins. However, the Rams ended that eight-game winning streak in Week 12 at LA, 26-20. New Orleans rebounded with a 31-21 home win over the Panthers but then a week ago last last Thursday, lost 20-17 in Atlanta. The ageless Drew Brees is having another excellent season, completing 71.7% with 19 TDs and six INTs for a 104.2 QB rating. It sure has helped that the Saints’ have developed a solid ground game, one which is averaging 135.4 YPG (4th). Brees and Co. also have to love the defensive improvement, as the Saints are allowing 20.2 PPG (11th) on 331.1 PPG (15th). Click here for more week 15 NFL picks from our handicappers at Touthouse.com

The pick: I guess it’s possible that McCown could return from an injury on his non-throwing hand but I wouldn’t want to count on that. Also, the Saints are highly-motivated to stay alive (on top?) in the three-team race happening in the NFC South. The Saints can now run the ball effectively (controlling the clock) and their defense has shown the ability to shut down opposing offenses. That’s a likely scenario here vs. the “not ready for prime time” Bryce Petty or a way less than 100 percent, McCown. Play the Under.

Tampa Bay vs. New Orleans Week 9 NFL Spread Pick from Mike Lundin: November 5th 2017

Tampa Bay Bucs vs. New Orleans Saints
Week 9 NFL Pick: Tampa Bay +7 points (November 5th 2017)
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The 5-2 New Orleans Saints have reeled off five consecutive wins while the 2-5 Tampa Bay Buccaneers have lost four straight. Top vs. bottom of the NFC East, but this looks like a prime spot to take the points on Tampa Bay in this divisional matchup IMO.

Note that Tampa Bay has kept things reasonably close in most games during its losing streak, losing by five to New England and Arizona and by three against Buffalo. The Buccaneers did hit a new low last week when they took a 17-3 loss against Carolina, but they’re 6-0 ATS in their last six games following a double-digit loss at home and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.

The Saints D has not really been put to the test over the last two weeks with wins against Green Bay (who was without Aaron Rodgers) and Chicago (29th in total offense). Tampa Bay meanwhile held Cam Newton to only 154 passing yards last week, and I would not be surprised to see the Buccaneers explode on the offensive side of the ball here after failing to record a touchdown against the Panthers.

My free pick is on Tampa Bay Buccaneers.