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Posts Tagged ‘New Orleans Saints’

NFL Preseason Pick: Teddy Covers betting the Saints +3 points on August 10th 2017

New Orleans Saints vs. Cleveland Browns
NFL Preseason Pick: New Orleans +3 points (August 10th 2017)
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Hue Jackson went 0-4 SU and ATS in his lone preseason as the head coach of the Oakland Raiders.  Jackson followed that 0-fer up with an 0-4 SU and ATS mark in his first season with the Browns last year.  Much of that was circumstantial – the Browns Week 1 roster last year had more rookies on it than any non-expansion team in NFL history.

But when we’re talking about a ‘major steam’ line move – this game opened at pick em and is now painted Cleveland -3 with extra vig to support the favorite – that type of track record certainly doesn’t inspire confidence in this bettor!  Whatever value their might have been with the Browns at pick em or -1 is long gone now…..

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Most pointspread decisions — whether in the NFL Preseason or Regular season or Playoffs – are decided after halftime.  The mainstream media and the betting markets often play far too much attention to the ‘how much playing time are the starters going to get?’ announcements, as opposed to the ‘who is going to be on the field after halftime?’ question.

And much like last year in August, the Browns second half rotations look spotty at best – limited skill position talent, questionable offensive line chemistry and a QB rotation that doesn’t inspire much confidence.  Rookie DeShone Kizer and fourth stringer ‘never will be’ Kevin Hogan are slated for the second half of this game, not exactly a ‘bet-on’ duo.

Drew Brees won’t see the field tonight, but Chase Daniel, who has been excellent in preseasons past is likely to get extended playing time.  And the Saints have a legitimate battle for the 3rd string job – a ‘bet-on’ situation in August – between a pair of guys who have plenty of experience against 3rd string defenses in August, Garrett Grayson and Ryan Nassib.  That duo is most assuredly not a ‘bet-on’ tandem in September, but in August, at +3, they’re a ‘bet-no’ duo all the way!  Take the Saints.

Teddy is ready to kick off the preseason with a bang, locked and loaded with a rock solid Trifecta of winners, including his very first 10* Big Ticket Report of the young season.  Get onboard right now to lock in with this proven preseason performer!

ASA betting the Denver Broncos +3 over the New Orleans Saints on November 13th 2016

BRONCOS VS. SAINTSDenver Broncos vs. New Orleans Saints
Point Spread Pick: Broncos +3 (November 13th 2016)
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We expect a nice bounce back from Denver here after a very poor performance on Sunday Night last week.  They were beaten 30-20 by Oakland and the defense, which is still ranked as the 2nd most efficient in the NFL, was run all over for 218 rushing yards.  The 30 points was by far the most Denver has given up this year (23 was most prior to last week) and you can bet this experienced unit was embarrassed by their performance.  They face a different type of offense this year.  Even though they ran for a pile of yards last week vs a terrible San Fran defense, New Orleans isn’t a great running team.

They normally rely heavily on the arm of Drew Brees which plays right into Denver’s strength as they are #1 in the NFL in passing YPG allowed, QB completion rate, and yards allowed per pass attempt.  The Denver offense should play well against a Saint defense that ranks 29th in defensive efficiency.  New Orleans is just 2-2 at home this year with their wins coming to the wire with margins of 3 & 5 points.  The Broncos are 7-1 ATS the last 8 times as an underdog winning 6 of those games outright.  We feel we’re getting the better team, as a 3-point dog, and motivated off a terrible performance on national TV.  Denver is the play.

Saints vs. Colts Week 7 NFL Pick from Jesse Schule: October 25th 2015

Jesse Schule - NFL PickNew Orleans Saints vs. Indianapolis Colts
Week 7 NFL Pick: Colts -4 (October 25th 2015)
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The Colts came into this season as one of the favorites to win the Super Bowl, but after starting the season with back to back losses, their stock dropped significantly. Chuck Pagano made a colossal blunder on a fake punt late in last week’s loss to New England, but overall the Colts looked pretty impressive in that game. Andrew Luck threw for a season high 312 yards and three TDs, and finally looks healthy.

In hindsight, I believe his poor play earlier in the season was likely due to a shoulder injury that was bothering him long before anyone was aware of it. He should be in for a big day against this Saints defense that ranks 25th in the NFL against the pass. New Orleans is 0-3 on the road so far, surrendering a total of 97 points in those three losses.

Drew Brees is still one of the best quarterbacks in the league, but his numbers are always better at the Super Dome than they are on the road. He’s completed 74% of his passes for 926 yards, four TDs and one INT in three home games. His completion percentage drops to 61% on the road, throwing for 690 yards, three TDs and two INTs.

The Colts are 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 home games, and the Saints have lost 10 of their last 14 road games. I think the number here should be a lot higher in favor of the Colts.