Middle Tennessee State vs. North Texas
Prediction: North Texas -5.5 (December 3rd 2011)
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First-year head coach Dan McCarney has done an excellent job at North Texas. This team has already overcome expectations by winning four games, and they have a chance for a fifth on Senior Day this Saturday. I fully expect them to win this game by at least a touchdown over hapless Middle Tennessee State.

The Blue Raiders have had a lost season. They are 2-9 SU & 3-8 ATS on the year, and there’s nothing that leads me to believe they will show up Saturday. They haven’t shown up for their last five games. MTSU is 0-5 SU & 0-5 ATS during this stretch, losing all five by 13 points or more with an average loss of 23.2 points/game.

North Texas will want to win this one for their seniors. They have played their best football at home, going 3-2 SU & 3-2 ATS on home soil. This is a team that beat MTSU 23-17 on the road last year as a 10.5-point underdog, and they are clearly the better squad in 2011 with a lot more returning talent.

Derek Thompson has been solid at quarterback for the Mean Green, completing 58.5 percent of his passes for 1,736 yards with 11 touchdowns and six interceptions. They will certainly be looking to feed the ball to RB Lance Dunbar, who rushed for over 1,300 yards in 2009 and over 1,500 last season.

Dunbar has rushed for 802 yards and six touchdowns this year. He’ll have an excellent chance of breaking the 1,000-yard mark for a third consecutive season against this soft MTSU run defense Saturday. The Blue Raiders are allowing 213 yards/game on the ground and 4.5/carry, ranking 99th in the country against the run.

MTSU is 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games when playing with 6 or less days rest, and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival. North Texas is 6-0 ATS after allowing 475 or more total yards in their previous game. The Blue Raiders are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 versus poor defensive teams – allowing >=5.9 yards/play. The Mean Green are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss, and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record. Bet North Texas Saturday.

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North Texas vs. UL Lafayette
Prediction: North Texas +9 (October 15th 2011)
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At 5 pm, on Saturday, our complimentary selection is on North Texas + the points over La Lafayette. The Mean Green are on quite a roll in Vegas. Last week, North Texas steamrolled the Owls of Florida Atlantic, 31-17, and that was its fourth straight pointspread win. For the season, the Mean Green are just 2-4 straight up, though, and have been installed as an 8.5-point underdog at the 5-1 Lafayette Ragin Cajuns. I like North Texas in this underdog role on Saturday, as the Mean Green is 6-0 ATS at Lafayette their last six meetings. Additionally, the Cajuns upset Troy State last week as a 6-point underdog, and Lafayette is a poor 0-6 ATS off an upset win over the last three seasons. Grab the points with North Texas.

Al McMordie has CASHED every single Saturday this season in College Football (31-18 on his Saturday NCAA Football Plays), and goes for his 7th Straight Winning Saturday this weekend. Don’t miss any of Al’s Football Winners, as he will have upwards of 20 plays this week. Or, better yet, join for a week or month today. Get all of Al McMordie’s winning college football picks at Touthouse.com this wekeend.

Indiana vs. North Texas
Prediction: Indiana -6 (September 24th 2011)

Indiana has a new Coach in Kevin Wilson bringing in a new no-huddle attack. He comes over from Oklahoma, where he was the offensive coordinator. The offense returns 7 starters, the defense 6. Sophomore QB Edward Wright-Baker (4 TDs, 1 INT) leads a good offense that is averaging 27 points and 247 yards passing. There is an outstanding target in 6-5 senior Damarlo Belcher, who had 101 yards on 4 catches in the opener. North Texas (0-3 SU/ATS) is off a tumultuous 3-9 SU, 6-6 ATS 2010 season, firing Coach Todd Dodge and offensive coordinator Mike Canales had to run the ship as interim coach. For 2011, new Coach Dan McCarney takes over (12 years as a head coach at Iowa State). Sophomore QB Derek Thompson leads and offense that is averaging 13 points and the defense is awful allowing 43.3 ppg. They looked terrible in the opener, a 41-16 loss at Florida International giving up 401 yards (208 rushing), down 31-7 at the half. Week 2 was worse, a 48-23 loss to Houston giving up 694 yards (503 passing). Play Indiana. Get more college football picks on September 24th from Jim Feist at Touthouse.com.