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Posts Tagged ‘Northern Illinois Huskies’

Northern Illinois vs. Ohio Betting Pick from Jack Jones: November 18th 2014

Jack Jones - College Football PickNorthern Illinois Huskies vs. Ohio Bobcats
Betting Pick: Ohio +3 (November 18th 2014)
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Both teams have a lot to play for coming into this one. Northern Illinois (8-2) is trying to win the MAC West as it’s currently in a three-way tie for first place. Ohio (5-5) needs one more win to become bowl eligible. So, both teams will be highly motivated for a victory Tuesday night.

I just believe Ohio is showing solid value as a 3-point home dog to Northern Illinois with the way it has been playing of late. It has won two of its last three games overall with its lone loss coming at Western Michigan, which is 5-1 within the MAC and battling NIU for first place in the West.

The Bobcats have a huge scheduling advantage in this one as they will be coming in on two weeks’ rest, while the Huskies played last Tuesday in a grueling 27-24 home win over Toledo. That extra preparation should pay big dividends for the Bobcats as they look to stop this solid NIU offense.

The Huskies have been one of the most overrated teams in the country this season. That has been evident by the fact that they have gone 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall. They lost 14-52 at Arkansas as a 13.5-point dog, beat Kent State 17-14 as a 25-point home favorite, lost to Central Michigan 17-34 as an 8-point home favorite, beat Miami Ohio 51-41 as a 13.5-point home favorite, and beat Eastern Michigan 28-17 as an 18-point road favorite during this stretch.

I really like what I saw from Ohio in its last game against Buffalo. It beat down the Bulls 37-14 as a 4-point home favorite, limiting them to just 134 yards of total offense while forcing four turnovers. That’s the same Buffalo team that is coming off a 55-24 home win over Akron last week.

While NIU has a solid offense, its defense is extremely suspect this year. Indeed, it is giving up 25.5 points and 400.0 yards per game against opponents that are only averaging 21.1 points and 354 yards per game offensively. It is allowing 4.4 points and 46 yards per game more than its opponents average on the season.

Ohio has been the better defensive team this year. It is allowing 25.6 points and 408.9 yards per game against opponents who average 28.2 points and 420 yards per game. It is holding its opponents to 2.6 points and 11 yards per game less than their season averages.

The key to this game for Ohio will be stopping the run as NIU averages 262 yards on the ground compared to just 190 yards through the air. It is equipped to do just that. The Bobcats are only allowing 135 rushing yards per game and 3.9 per carry against teams that average 161 yards per game and 4.4 per carry on the ground this year.

Ohio is 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS at home this season, outscoring opponents by an average of 7.0 points per game. Plays against road favorites (N ILLINOIS) – excellent offensive team (>=440 YPG) against an average offensive team (330 to 390 YPG), after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game are 26-6 (81.2%) ATS over the last five seasons. Ohio is 7-0 ATS in its last seven home games when playing against a team with a winning percentage of 75% or better. Bet Ohio Tuesday.

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Northern Illinois vs. Eastern Michigan College Football Pick: October 25th 2014

Tom Stryker - College Football PickNorthern Illinois vs. Eastern Michigan
College Football Pick: Northern Illinois -20.5 (October 25th 2014)
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Sporting a 5-2 SU record and with four of its next six games on the road, Northern Illinois won’t screw around when it visits Eastern Michigan on Saturday afternoon. The Huskies already have one loss in the MAC West Division and they can’t afford another.

As a conference guest, NIU has been a dominant force notching a solid 35-13 SU and 26-18-2 ATS record in its last 48 games. In their last 11 on the MAC road, the Huskies have posted an incredible 11-0 SU and 10-1 ATS mark. Northern Illinois has pounded Eastern Michigan lately too. In their last 17 games against the Eagles, the Huskies own a proud 14-3 SU and 10-6 ATS record.

It won’t take much to fade EMU. The Eagles have been one of college football’s worst since 2007 notching a dismal 21-70 SU and 32-51-1 ATS mark including a pathetic 4-35 SU and 12-26-1 ATS in this set battling an opponent that checks in off a straight up win. To make matters worse, MAC home dogs in conference play are a ridiculous 13-68 SU and 25-54-2 ATS provided they arrive off a road game. If our “play against” host enters off a straight up loss and is priced as a pup of +10.5 or more, this conference trend slips all the way down to an awful 1-17 SU and 3-15 ATS.

Defensively, EMU is one of the worst allowing an average of 39.6 points and 521.1 yards per game. Rest assured, NIU’s high-octane offense (avg 32.1 points and 476.1 ypg) will move the football up and down the field all day long against the Eagles. Take Northern Illinois. Thank you and best of luck, Tom Stryker.

Northern Illinois vs. Northwestern Football Pick & Point Spread: September 6th 2014

Joe Gavazzi - Football PickNorthern Illinois vs. Northwestern
Betting Pick: Northwestern -7 point spread (September 6th 2014)
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Lowly Presby was the first victim of Northern Illinois this season. The 55-3 win, as 39 point chalk, saw the Huskies amass a 424-69 overland edge in racking up 635 yards. A +3 net TO margin sealed the deal. This is a somewhat greater challenge for a MAC team, who is playing for the first time in many years without proven signal callers in QB Harnish and QB Lynch. The tandem of QBs Hare and McIntosh will have a far greater challenge against a Big 10 defense. In this game, they will also miss the veteran experience of RB Stingily. Technicals point to the visitor, who has won 15 consecutive regular season road games and is on a spread streak of 10-2 ATS away. Meanwhile, the Wildcats are on a 3-5 SU, 1-8 ATS slide on their home field. A 5-7 SU, 3-9 ATS record of 2013 has 17 Wildcat RS hungry for redemption. Week 1 results did little to cool that fervor. The 31-24 home field loss to Cal (our UNDERDOG PLAY OF THE WEEK on these pages) saw NW battle valiantly but just fall short in their comeback effort after trailing the Bears 31-7 in the 3rd quarter. Playing with need and the momentum of that late game comeback, look for the Wildcats to secure a double digit victory against a foe whom they will not take lightly.