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Posts Tagged ‘Northern Illinois Huskies’

Northern Illinois vs. Bowling Green College Football Pick: December 5th 2014

Freddy Wills - College Football PickNorthern Illinois vs. Bowling Green
College Football Pick: Northern Illinois -6.5 (December 5th 2014)

They get revenge from last year’s shocking loss to Bowling Green in the championship game. They lost that game because they could not stop the pass, and Bowling Green’s defense was a lot better. Not going to happen this year without Matt Johnson at QB as their passing offense was top 20 last year and 97th this year. Bowling Green’s defense is also not very good ranking 100th vs. the run and 85th vs. the pass. They truly have benefited from a lousy MAC East it’s almost as if they won the league by default.

The MAC East has also not played well vs. the MAC West going 3-16 this year including Bowling Green who is 0-3 losing by 12, 17, and 7 and Northern Illinois beat all 3. Northern Illinois 2 losses came against the two teams that could stop the run in Central Michigan and Arkansas. You must know by now that Northern Illinois will run the ball and play mistake free football. Bowling Green has only allowed 4.06 ypc in conference play, but 6.21 ypc in losses and the teams they shut down were teams that really could not move the football on the ground. Northern Illinois also has a threat at QB in Hare who only had 1 interception.

In fact Northern Illinois had just 10 turnovers all year. Most of the games Bowling Green was able to beat came by getting turnovers. Hare won’t turn the ball over and Northern Illinois will dominate in the red zone as Bowling Green’s offense is only converting 46% of the time. It just won’t be enough to get it done against a team that has far better recruits and talent on the field.

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Northern Illinois vs. Bowling Green Over-Under Pick: December 5th 2014

Spreitzer - College Football PickNorthern Illinois vs. Bowling Green
College Football Pick: Over 61.5 (December 5th 2014)

I’m recommending a play on the Over between Northern Illinois & Bowling Green on Friday night. The last time these teams met came in last year’s MAC Championship game and we saw 64 points on the scoreboard by the end of the contest. I expect more points in this one. The NIU ground game needs no mention…everyone knows just how strong it is. But QB Drew Hare is also effective with his arm, throwing for more than 18-hundred yards with 15 TD passes and just 1 INT. Da’Ron Brown is Hare’s go-to receiver and he’s a nightmare matchup for MAC defenses, including Bowling Green’s. But of equal or maybe more concern for Bowling Green is a run defense that gave up 5.1 and 6.1 yards per carry to their last two opponents. Falcons’ QB James Knapke has led his offense to an average of 31 ppg. Knapke has thrown for more than 24-hundred yards and he will throw the occasional pick, which could mean a short-field situation or two for the Huskies tonight. BG’s ground game is also effective with multiple weapons to carry the football. The winning side in the last two meetings has scored 47 and 45 points. We expect more of the same, plus expect the losing side to do its share of scoring on Thursday, sending Northern Illinois & Bowling Green Over the total. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

Northern Illinois vs. Ohio Betting Pick from Jack Jones: November 18th 2014

Jack Jones - College Football PickNorthern Illinois Huskies vs. Ohio Bobcats
Betting Pick: Ohio +3 (November 18th 2014)

Both teams have a lot to play for coming into this one. Northern Illinois (8-2) is trying to win the MAC West as it’s currently in a three-way tie for first place. Ohio (5-5) needs one more win to become bowl eligible. So, both teams will be highly motivated for a victory Tuesday night.

I just believe Ohio is showing solid value as a 3-point home dog to Northern Illinois with the way it has been playing of late. It has won two of its last three games overall with its lone loss coming at Western Michigan, which is 5-1 within the MAC and battling NIU for first place in the West.

The Bobcats have a huge scheduling advantage in this one as they will be coming in on two weeks’ rest, while the Huskies played last Tuesday in a grueling 27-24 home win over Toledo. That extra preparation should pay big dividends for the Bobcats as they look to stop this solid NIU offense.

The Huskies have been one of the most overrated teams in the country this season. That has been evident by the fact that they have gone 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall. They lost 14-52 at Arkansas as a 13.5-point dog, beat Kent State 17-14 as a 25-point home favorite, lost to Central Michigan 17-34 as an 8-point home favorite, beat Miami Ohio 51-41 as a 13.5-point home favorite, and beat Eastern Michigan 28-17 as an 18-point road favorite during this stretch.

I really like what I saw from Ohio in its last game against Buffalo. It beat down the Bulls 37-14 as a 4-point home favorite, limiting them to just 134 yards of total offense while forcing four turnovers. That’s the same Buffalo team that is coming off a 55-24 home win over Akron last week.

While NIU has a solid offense, its defense is extremely suspect this year. Indeed, it is giving up 25.5 points and 400.0 yards per game against opponents that are only averaging 21.1 points and 354 yards per game offensively. It is allowing 4.4 points and 46 yards per game more than its opponents average on the season.

Ohio has been the better defensive team this year. It is allowing 25.6 points and 408.9 yards per game against opponents who average 28.2 points and 420 yards per game. It is holding its opponents to 2.6 points and 11 yards per game less than their season averages.

The key to this game for Ohio will be stopping the run as NIU averages 262 yards on the ground compared to just 190 yards through the air. It is equipped to do just that. The Bobcats are only allowing 135 rushing yards per game and 3.9 per carry against teams that average 161 yards per game and 4.4 per carry on the ground this year.

Ohio is 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS at home this season, outscoring opponents by an average of 7.0 points per game. Plays against road favorites (N ILLINOIS) – excellent offensive team (>=440 YPG) against an average offensive team (330 to 390 YPG), after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game are 26-6 (81.2%) ATS over the last five seasons. Ohio is 7-0 ATS in its last seven home games when playing against a team with a winning percentage of 75% or better. Bet Ohio Tuesday.

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