Seattle Mariners vs. Oakland Athletics
MLB Betting Pick: A’s -123 odds (April 23rd 2017)
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The price is right with the A’s at home today. This is a big play on Oakland starter Andrew Triggs, who is 3-0 and yet to allow a run in 3 starts. This could be the next gem in the rough the A’s organization has found. I’m willing to ride it out for a while, especially if he’s laying less than -130 at home against a team that is sending out a starter like Yovani Gallardo, who has a 6.19 ERA in 3 starts, all losses for Seattle. I have yet to mention that the A’s are red-hot having won 5 straight. Give me Oakland -123!
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Seattle Mariners vs. Oakland Athletics
MLB Betting Pick: Seattle -140 odds (April 20th 2017)
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The Mariners are 7-9 as they head to Oakland to open a four-game series with the 7-8 A’s Thursday night. Both teams produced a season-high in runs in wins on Wednesday, Seattle taking down the Marlins 10-5, while the A’s beat the Rangers 9-1. Oakland’s Khris Davis, who hit a career-high 42 HRs in 2016, hit his 7th HR of 2017, tying him for the MLB lead.
The pitching matchup will feature Seattle’s James Paxton, off to a 2-0 with an 0.00 ERA up against Cesar Valdez, who Valdez is appearing in a big-league game for the first time since June 10, 2010 when he was a member of the Arizona Diamondbacks. Valdez was hardly much of a pitcher back in 2010, going 1-2 with a 7.65 ERA and 1.95 WHIP in nine appearances (two starts). He was signed by Oakland as a minor-league free agent last November and has gone 1-0 with a 2.70 ERA at Triple-A Nashville. He’s been called up to start for the injured Kendall Graveman.
Getting back to Paxton, he’s been long been considered as a future standout by the Mariners but injuries have curtailed his progress. In fact, last season’s 121 innings are his most since he reached the majors in 2013. He was just 6-7 with a 3.79 ERA in 20 starts last season (Mariners were 7-13 in his starts, going minus-$898 against the moneyline) but he had nearly five times as many strikeouts (117) as walks (24).
Is 2017 going to be his breakout year? He’s opened 2-0 without allowing a run over 15 innings with a 17 strikeouts and just three walks. What’s more, he is 2-0 with a 2.75 ERA in three career starts against the Athletics (Seattle is 3-0), and how does one ignore that Seattle has won 12 of its past 13 games in Oakland. Take the Mariners.
Oakland Athletics vs. Texas Rangers
MLB Pick: Rangers -130 odds (April 7th 2017)
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Great spot to jump on Texas at what I feel is a very favorable line at home against the A’s. The Rangers are going to be all business when they take the field against Oakland, as they were just swept in a 3-game series at home by the Indians. Cleveland is one of the elite teams in all of baseball, so nothing to overreact to there. This is a very strong Rangers team that’s going to contend for a playoff spot. The same can’t be said for the A’s, who are one of the least talented teams in the American League.
Hard to not like the starting pitching matchup in this one. Texas gives the ball to A.J. Griffin, who is coming off a strong spring and has the potential to put up strong numbers this season. Oakland is countering with Raul Alcantara, who posted a 7.25 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in 5 starts last season. It’s also worth noting that the Rangers are 27-8 in Griffin’s last 35 home starts and 13-3 in his last 16 starts in a game played at night. Take Texas!
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Cleveland Indians vs. Oakland Athletics
Betting Pick: A’s +128 odds (August 24th 2016)
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10* graded play on Oakland as they take on Cleveland in AL action set to start at 3:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Oakland will win this game.
Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 68-35 over the last 5 seasons good for 66% winners and made 36.8 units/unit wagered. Play on any team (OAKLAND) – with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season (AL), after a win by 8 runs or more. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Oakland is 16-8 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons and they are 13-5 (+9.9 Units) against the money line after allowing 3 runs or less 2 straight games this season. Cleveland is 15-20 (-9.2 Units) against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB’s/start) this season and they are 19-26 (-14.8 Units) against the money line after having won 2 of their last 3 games this season. Melvin is 76-57 (+18.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season as the manager of Oakland. Francona is 9-29 (-19.4 Units) against the money line in road games revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 8 runs or more in all games he has managed since 1997. Indians are 3-7 in their last 10 road games. Indians are 2-5 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Indians are 1-5 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Indians are 0-4 in their last 4 Wednesday games. Athletics are 5-1 in Graveman’s last 6 home starts. Athletics are 4-1 in Graveman’s last 5 starts during game 3 of a series. Athletics are 10-3 in Graveman’s last 13 starts.
Fundamental Discussion Points Khris Davis went 2-for-4 with a three-run homer and Ryon Healy collected three hits and an RBI as Oakland rolled to its second win in 10 contests. Healy is 5-for-7 in the series and is riding a 10-game hitting streak during which he has recorded five multi-hit performances. Bauer made his second career start against Oakland on July 29 but remained without a decision after yielding three runs — two earned — and five hits over 5 1/3 frames. Graveman is coming off his first career shutout and second complete game of the season, a two-hitter against the White Sox at Chicago in which he struck out five without issuing a walk. He has been stingy with the free passes of late, walking a total of six batters in 56 1/3 innings over his last eight outings. Take Oakland Athletics.