Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers
MLB Baseball Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 +116 odds (August 12th 2011)
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Brewers RL +100 (1* FREE PICK) Zach Greinke has been on fire of late as he’s 3-0 wiht a 1.07 WHIP and 1.37 ERA as his stats have really started to even out as we thought they were from earlier in the season where he was one of the unluckiest pitchers in baseball. Now he’s keeping guys off the base and he’s been great at home 7-0 with a 1.04 WHIP and 3.49 ERA. Even more impressive is his 9.5 K to BB ratio. He’s got 76 K’s in just 56.2 IP while surrendering only 8 walks. Amazing! He also has revenge from earlier in the season vs. the Pirates who gave up 5 ER in 5 innings back in May. Pirates have struggled of late and are scoring just 3.97 runs per 9 vs. RHP on the road, facing an elite pitcher I think they’ll be scoring less.
Pirates send Paul Maholm to the mound who despite pitching well in his last three starts vs. the Brewers has gone 0-3. He’s dominated some of the players like Prince Fielder but Corey Hart and Ryan Braun have dominated him 24-72 with 4 HR. Let’s be honest the Brewers have dominated teams at home this year and I think we get good value at +100 odds for a free pick vs. the Pirates who are just 11-41 in the last 52 meetings, 8-43 in their last 51 at Milwaukee. Brewers are killing lefties of late .366 average 10.61 runs per 9 and the once strong Pirates bullpen has a 6.89 ERA over their last 10 games. They have come back down to life in a big way.
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates -138 odds (August 1st 2011)
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I really like the Pirates to bounce back from getting swept at Philadelphia over the weekend with a big win at home against the Cubs on Monday. Pittsburgh is 6-3 against Chicago this season, and are getting the Cubs in a great spot. Chicago upset the Cardinals yesterday to snap a five-game losing streak, but the Cubs are just 7-23 in their last 30 road games and only 15-36 in their last 51 games following a win.
Pittsburgh will start lefty Paul Maholm against the Cubs, who has been much better than his record indicates. Maholm is just 6-10 on the season, but has a 3.16 ERA. He has also been at his best at home, with a 2.37 ERA and 1.171 WHIP in 12 starts at PNC Park. Maholm is 9-2 in 16 career starts against Chicago. In his last two starts against the Cubs, he has allowed just 1 run on 7 hits in 16 and 2/3 innings. Chicago is just 3-13 in their last 16 games vs. a left-handed starter.
This will be the Pirates first home game since July, 24, as they have played the last seven on the road. Pittsburgh is 7-0 in home games after 7 or more consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons. The Pirates are also 8-2 in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400 and 16-7 in their last 23 vs. National League Central. BET THE PIRATES!
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Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
MLB Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates -128 odds (July 10th 2011)
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I’m backing the Pittsburgh Pirates at home Sunday behind underrated lefty Paul Maholm. The surprising Pirates sit just one game out of the division lead in the NL Central at 46-43 on the season. This team simply believes they can win now thanks to Clint Hurdle, who is clearly the manager of the year at this point. Maholm has posted a 3.08 ERA and 1.219 WHIP in 18 starts this season, and he’s 4-4 with a 2.02 ERA and 1.171 WHIP in 10 home starts.
The Pirates are 11-4 in Maholm’s 15 career starts against Chicago. In two starts against the Cubs this season, Maholm has pitched 15 2/3 shutout innings while allowing only 10 base runners. The Cubs are 28-62 in their last 90 games following a win. The Pirates are a perfect 6-0 in their last 6 games following a loss. Pittsburgh is 4-0 in Maholm’s last 4 home starts. The Pirates are 4-0 in Maholms last 4 home starts vs. Cubs. Take the Pirates Sunday.
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