Philadelphia 76ers vs. Orlando Magic
NBA Point Spread Pick: 76ers +5 (March 20th 2017)
CLICK HERE FOR JOHN RYAN’S EXPERT NBA PICKS
5* graded play on the Philadelphia 76ers (601) as they take on in the Orlando Magic in NBA action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the 76ers will win this game by at least 3 points. Given the favorable projections we like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 4* play on the line and a 1* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 5* wager using the line.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points
The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Here is a system that has gone 62-26 ATS good for 71% winners since 2011. Play on all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ORLANDO) off a road win, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season.
Other Fundamental and Technical Discussion Points
If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the 76ers.
76ers have won five straight ATS and have had a much better season than in any of the last five seasons. Orlando is playing horrid defense allowing better than 50% shooting to 4 of their last 5 opponents. 76ers have a great coach in Brett Brown, who teaches and leads with his team showing up every night to play their best.
- John Ryan’s proven algorithm has identified a High-Powered winner in the marquee matchup between the Warriors and the Thunder tonight. Currently 51-40 (56%) over his last 93 NBA picks! $1,000/game bettors have made $8,710 since November 11, 2016, by following his advice!
Philadelphia 76ers vs. Golden State Warriors
NBA Betting Pick: Golden State -16.5 (March 14th 2017)
CLICK HERE FOR LARRY NESS’ EXPERT NBA PICKS
The Golden State Warriors had to play eight games in eight cities over 13 days and in the process lost Kevin Durant for at least a month, while suffering through poor shooting and overall poor play. The result was a 3-5 record, including a two-game losing streak (team’s first in 146 regular season games) and now a three-game losing streak (note: The last time Golden State lost three in a row was Nov. 20-23, 2013!). The 76ers are coming to the end of a four-game road trip and are looking to head home even after pulling out a 118-116 win over the Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday.
Philadelphia (24-42) continues to get strong efforts from its young players despite the team being out of the race, and forward Dario Saric is rapidly becoming the favorite to win Rookie of the Year.
Joel Embiid was a shoo-in for the award but his season was cut short (just 31 games). The 6-11 Saric had a season-high 29 points and added seven rebounds and five assists in Sunday’s win at LA and has now scored in double digits in 16th straight games, reaching at least 20 points in eight of them. Rookie SG Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot got a rare chance to start on Sunday and delivered a season-high 18 points, one night after second-year big man Richaun Holmes scored a career-high 24 points against the Clippers.
The Warriors are 2-5 since Durant went down with a knee injury and held out Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson, Draymond Green and Andre Iguodala on Saturday at San Antonio, losing 107-85. The good news for Golden State is that the Warriors will play 11 of their final 16 games at home. The Warriors earned a 119-108 win at Philadelphia on Feb 27, their seventh straight victory in the series. The Warriors had been 10-0 at home against Eastern teams before losing 99-86 to the Celtics last Wednesday, so expect them to get back on track here.
Golden State has averaged 120.3 PPG in its 30 home games this season (26-4 SU) and I’ll lay the large price in this one..
Philadelphia 76ers vs. Los Angeles Lakers
NBA Betting Pick: Lakers -3.5 (March 12th 2017)
CLICK HERE FOR LARRY NESS’ EXPERT NBA PICKS
Most observers assumed the Lakers were ‘tanking,’ as the team’s first-round draft choice in 2017 is only top-three protected. 4th or worse and LA loses it, something the Lakers can hardly afford (the more ping pong balls LA has, the better chance it gets at a top-three pick). However, LA ended its eight-game losing streak with a surprising 122-110 victory Thursday in Phoenix and now the 20-45 Lakers are just one game behind the Suns in a race to the bottom for the West’s worst record (2nd-worst in the NBA next to the Nets).
The 76ers won just 10 games last year but despite Ben Simmons never playing at all this season and Joel Embiid’s rookie-of-the-year season being cut short to just 31 games by yet another injury, Philly enters this contest 23-42. Philadelphia has fallen on hard times though, entering this game on a four-game slide with loses in seven of its last eight. The 76ers lost yesterday afternoon at Staples Center 112-100 to the Clippers and head coach Brett Brown told reporters, “We competed, I thought, at a high standard. We were ahead at halftime. We were ahead going into the fourth period. We stuck with a nine-man rotation and I thought our guys fought to the end.” With Embiid sidelined, 6-11 rookie Dario Saric has scored in double figures in 15 consecutive games (had 16 vs the Clippers) and is making a late push at rookie-of-the-year honors.
It’s been well-documented that LA’s front office (Magic?) is trying to determine whether PG Russell (15.3 & 4.8 APG), PF Randle (12.8 & 8.6) and swingman Ingram (8.4 & 4.1) are the core LA wants to move forward with. Six Lakers reached double figures in scoring against the Suns, with Russell leading the way with 28 points on 10-of-20 shooting. Ingram added 14 & 6 and Randle 13 & 8. Russell is averaging 21.9 points, five assists and 2.3 steals per game since the All Star break.
The Lakers have lost five in a row at home but with the win at Phoenix, can capture two in a row for the first time since Jan. 6 and 8 when they defeated the Miami Heat and Orlando Magic. Only three times this season has LA claimed consecutive wins, with the other two occasions occurring in November. However, the time seems right, as the 76ers just played yesterday afternoon against the Clippers and despite leading 79-75 entering the fourth quarter, lost by 12 points after getting outscored 37-21 in the final stanza. Tough bounce-back for a depth-shy team. Lay it with LA.
Philadelphia 76ers vs. San Antonio Spurs
NBA Betting Pick: SA -15 points (February 2nd 2017)
CLICK HERE FOR LARRY NESS’ EXPERT NBA PICKS
The set-up: Only the 42-7 Golden State Warriors own a better record than the 37-11 San Antonio Spurs but six of the Spurs’ 11 defeats have come to sub-.500 teams (not typical for a Popovich-coached team). The Spurs will look to avoid a similar slip-up tonight, when the 18-30 Philadelphia 76ers visit AT&T Center.
An 18-30 record may not seem like much but the 76ers have shown a great deal of improvement this season, after they won just 10 games last year. In fact, they finished January with a 10-5 record, their best month since going 13-4 in January 2012. However, rookie of the year favorite Joel Embiid (20.2 & 7.8) didn’t make the trip to Texas. He suffered a bruised left knee Jan. 20 and hasn’t played in six of the past seven games. Forward Ersan Ilyasova (15.3 & 6.1) has played very well alongside of Embiid and Jahlil Okafor (11.5 & 4.7) has been solid but far from as good as the team had hoped. Of course, the entire league is hoping that last year’s No. 1 overall pick, Ben Simmons, just could make his first appearance after the All Star break. However, as we’ve seen before, Philly will not rush their young stars onto the court.
The Spurs ended a two-game slide on Tuesday with a 108-94 home win over OKC. Kawhi Leonard (25.6 & 5.8) scored 36 points and grabbed eight rebounds but the Spurs’ bench also played a big role. After San Antonio had squandered an 18-point lead over an ‘ugly’ seven-minute stretch, the Spurs’ reserves responded by outscoring OKC 15-2 and once the starters returned, the Thunder had no answer. Aldridge (17.7 & 7.2) plays like an All Star but the team’s terrific depth and balance which makes it so good. Seven players contribute between 6.3 and 11.7 PPG. Pau Gasol (11.7 & 7.9) has been the leader of that group but will be out until March with an injury but expect that the 7-0 Dedmon will get more time, after averaging 4.8 & 5.8 on about 16 MPG, so far.
This is a brutally tough spot for Philly, playing on back-to-back nights AND without Embiid. With all hands on deck, the 76ers are averaging only 100.8 PPG (25th) on shooting 44.1% shooting (26th). Meanwhile, the Spurs rank second in both points allowed (99.2) and opponents’ FG percentage (44.5%). Throw in the fact that the Spurs have won 10 straight against Philadelphia and have won 11 consecutive home games them. Lay the points.