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Posts Tagged ‘Pittsburgh Pirates’

MLB Pick: Will Rogers betting the Orioles -120 odds on September 26th 2017

Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
MLB Betting Pick: Baltimore -120 odds (September 26th 2017)

The set-up: The Pirates stalled division rival St. Louis’ bid for a playoff spot by taking two of the final three games over the weekend but enter this final week of the regular season at 71-85 and nothing to play for at all. The Orioles opened the 2017 season 22-10 but quickly fell into a funk. The team got back into contention by late-August but Baltimore’s long-shot playoff hopes were officially snuffed out this past Saturday night. Sunday’s win versus Tampa Bay was only their fourth in 18 games. This two-game interleague series will feature a pair of teams with nothing to play.

The pitching matchup: Kevin Gausman (11-10 & 4.61 ERA) will go for Baltimore and Trevor Williams (6-9 & 4.18 ERA) for Pittsburgh. Gausman has been excelelnt in his last two starts, allowing just one ER on nine hits over 15 inning (0.60 ERA) with a 13 Ks and just two walks. He’s only faced Pittsburgh once in his career (0-1 & 5.40 ERA). Williams owns a 2.12 ERA over his last five starts but has just one win to show for it (he’s 1-3 and the team 2-3). Williams is a rookie who has never faced Baltimore.

The pick: The Pittsburgh Pirates clearly have their sights fixed on 2018, as five of the eight position players who started for them on Sunday were rookies. In this one, I’ll back the suddenly hot Gausman.

Pittsburgh vs. Milwaukee Betting Odds & Pick from Larry Ness: September 19th 2017

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Betting Pick: Milwaukee -116 odds (September 19th 2017)

The Milwaukee Brewers won 3-0 at Pittsburgh last night, in the opener of a three-game set. The victory moved the Brewers within 3 1/2 games of the idle Chicago Cubs in the NL Central and two games in back of the Colorado Rockies for the second wild-card spot. Milwaukee is trying to chase down a playoff spot (NL Central title or wild card) and has now won EIGHT of 10, while scoring a  total of 60 runs. The problem is, the Cubs return to the field of play tonight at Tampa Bay, owners of a six-game winning streak. As for the Rockies, their next nine games are against teams with losing records. Speaking of losing records, the Pirates have lost six in a row and 11 of their last 12 games, scoring two or fewer runs in seven of their last eight games.

Chase Anderson (10-3, 2.88 ERA) takes the mound for Milwaukee and will be opposed by Pittsburgh’s Trevor Williams (6-8, 4.26 ERA). Anderson has been a nice surprise for the Brewers, although the team has gone just 2-7 in his no-decisions, leaving the Milwaukee a disappointing 12-10 in all his starts, despite that excellent 2.88 ERA. Anderson has pitched well against Pittsburgh in his career, going 5-2 with a 3.20 ERA in 10 starts (teams are 6-4).

Williams lost to St Louis in his last outing and has dropped four of his last five decisions. He lasted just 4.1 innings against the Cardinals in his last outing, marking the third time in his last five outings that he has pitched five or fewer innings. Williams allowed three runs on six hits in six innings during a no-decision on June 21 in his lone career start against Milwaukee (0-0 with a 4.50 ERA / team is 0-1).

The Brewers are not going down without a fight, while the Pirates seeming can’t wait for October 1 (last day of the regular season). Anderson has won back-to-back starts, as well as three consecutive decisions, plus is 2-0 with a 2.43 ERA in two 2017 start against the Pirates. I’ll go with the road team.

MLB Pick: Will Rogers betting the Pirates over the Dodgers on August 23rd 2017

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
MLB Pick: Pittsburgh +1.5 -120 odds (August 23rd 2017)

The set-up: The Los Angeles Dodgers placed 14-game winner Alex Wood and rookie standout Cody Bellinger (34 HRs) on the 10-day disabled list Tuesday, then went out and beat Pittsburgh 8-5 for the team’s 23rd win in its last 27 games. Los Angeles is 89-35, 13 1/2 games better than the Astros, who own MLB’s second-best record at 76-49. Houston is on pace for 98 wins but has been left in the dust by the Dodgers. Pittsburgh seemed to be making a run in the NL Central a few weeks ago but has now lost eight of 10 to drop eight games behind first-place Chicago in the division and 8 1/2 games out of a final wild card spot, as well.

The pitching matchup: Rich Hill (9-4 & 3.54 ERA) takes the mound in this third contest of a four-game series for LA and will be opposed by Pittsburgh rookie Trevor Williams (5-6 & 4.71 ERA). Rich Hill takes an unbeaten streak of eight straight starts into Wednesday’s contest, after he improved to 5-0 since July 1 (Dodgers are 7-1) by limiting the Tigers to three runs on six hits over five innings of a an 8-5 LA win last Friday in Detroit. Hill has made eight career starts against Pittsburgh, posting a 3-1 record and 3.69 ERA (teams are 5-3). Williams matched his worst start of the year when he was rocked for eight runs on seven hits in three innings by the St. Louis Cardinals last Friday (Cards won 11-10). Unfortunately, those are identical numbers to his line in a drubbing at the hands of the Dodgers in Los Angeles back on May 8 of 12-1 Pittsburgh loss.

The pick: I guess one could just play the Dodgers each and every day, as they are plus-$3535 vs. the moneyline (at $100/game), a whopping $2280 better than Milwaukee, which owns MLB’s second-best moneyline mark. However, I’m going to take 1 1/2 runs here with the Pirates and note that while Williams was ‘lit up’ in his last outing (while lasting just three innings), in each of his previous four appearances, and in 10 of his previous 11, he had surrendered fewer than four ERs. Fingers crossed!