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Posts Tagged ‘Purdue Boilermakers’

Purdue vs. Michigan State Point Spread & Pick from Joe Gavazzi: March 4th 2015

Joe Gavazzi - College Basketball PickPurdue vs. Michigan State
Betting Pick: Michigan State -6.5 points (March 4th 2015)
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Each of these teams comes off Sunday losses, but in very different ways. Bubblicious Purdue proved they were overrated when they allowed the dominant 2nd half lead at Ohio St. to slip away. Purdue remains on the bubble with an RPI in the 50s and a recent 9-1 ATS mark. With an 11-5 SU mark in Big 10 play, they lead this Michigan St. team by a game in the standings. But, the schedule has broken just right for the Boilers, as they have faced many teams when they were battling injury for in negative situational spots. When stepping up in class on the Big 10 road, they have lost to Wisconsin, Illinois, Minnesota and Ohio St. This is not one of Michigan St.’s HC Izzo’s Final Four teams. But, you can be sure they will come to battle tonight! They proved their moxy by covering at Wisconsin on Sunday with their “never say die” style resulting in a 7 point loss, after trailing by 21. Now, this team returns to the Breslin Center, where they will be facing a Purdue team that is above them in the standings. Of equal importance is that the Spartans come off back-to-back losses, including a previous home loss to Minnesota. Note that Izzo coached teams are 21-6 ATS following a defeat, including 8-1 ATS this season. Play the Michigan St. bounce back as they further expose Purdue.

Purdue vs. Ohio State Basketball Pick from Jimmy Boyd: March 1st 2015

Jimmy Boyd - College Basketball PickPurdue vs. Ohio State
College Basketball Pick: Purdue +9 point spread (March 1st 2015)
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The Boilermakers are showing some great value here as a 9-point underdog. Purdue has won 4 straight and 8 of 9 overall with their only loss coming by a mere 4-points at Minnesota. This streak includes a 60-58 win at home over the Buckeyes. Typically a team that has been on a run like the Boilermakers are overvalued, but we are seeing an overreaction here based on the most recent results for both teams. Purdue failed to cover at home against the leagues worst team in Rutgers, while Ohio State cruised to a 24-point win over Nebraska.

I don’t know if Purdue will have enough to extend their win streak, but I’m expecting a highly contested game that comes right down to the wire. The Buckeyes are a mere 2-8 ATS in their last 10 off a home blowout win by 20+ points, while the Boilermakers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 off a home win and a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games off 2 straight games where they forced their opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers. Take Purdue!

Purdue vs. Indiana Basketball Pick from Jimmy Boyd: February 19th 2015

Jimmy Boyd - College Basketball PickPurdue vs. Indiana
College Basketball Pick: Purdue +4.5 (February 19th 2015)
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Outside of Wisconsin, the Boilermakers have been the hottest team in the Big Ten. Purdue is 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games. While Indiana comes in off a 19-point home win over Minnesota (90-71), that looks impressive after watching the Golden Gophers lose at home to Northwestern last night. The Hoosiers are just 3-4 in their last seven games and haven’t won back-to-back games since the middle of January.

Purdue won 83-67 at home over Indiana back on Jan. 28 and did so by shooting an impressive 59% from the field, while holding the Hoosiers to just 38%. I do expect Indiana to play better at home, but I still like the Boilermakers to come away with the win. Either way the value is with the Boilermakers as a 4.5-point dog in a game that likely will come down to the wire.

Purdue is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 versus a team that’s won more than 60% of their games, 16-5 ATS in their last 21 conference games and 12-4 ATS in their last 16 road games when playing only their 2nd game in a week. These trends combine to form a strong 78% (32-9) system in favor of the Boilermakers. Take Purdue!