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Posts Tagged ‘Purdue Boilermakers’

Purdue vs. Minnesota NCAA Football Betting Pick from Larry Ness: November 5th 2016

PURDUE VS. MINNESOTA BETTING FOOTBALLPurdue Boilermakers vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers
College Football Pick: Minnesota -17 points (November 5th 2016)

Purdue enters on a 3-game losing streak while allowing 46.0 PPG…My free play is on Minnesota at 3:30 ET.

Minnesota is quietly still in the Big Ten West Division race, as the Golden Gophers are 6-2 overall, including 3-2 in league play. That places them just one game back of No. 10 Nebraska, while being tied with No. 8 Wisconsin, Iowa and Northwestern. Minnesota has games still remaining against all the aforementioned teams, save Iowa. However, up first, the Golden Gophers host a 3-5 Purdue team, which is just 1-4 in Big Ten play.

Minnesota enters the contest off three straight wins, including a 49-17 rout on the road last Saturday at Illinois. Purdue comes in off three straight losses, getting outscored 45-7 in the second half of their 62-24 loss at Penn State (Nittany Lions are now No. 12 in the CFP rankings). Purdue QB David Blough completed a career-high 34 passes on 50 attempts last week against Penn State and has at least one TD pass in every game this season. He’s thrown for 2,346 yards but owns a modest 57.8 completion percentage, as well as a so-so 16-12 ratio. He gets almost no help from a running game averaging 111.0 YPG (120th) on 3.6 YPC. The defense allows 36.9 PPG (116th) on 444.9 YPG (104th).

Minnesota runs the ball well, averaging 207.2 YPG (37th) on YPC. The Gophers own an excellent duo in Rodney Smith (801 yards on 5.2 YPC with 10 TDs) and Shannon Brooks (472 yards on 5.1 YPC with five TDs). QB Leidner is a liability, throwing a for about half as many yards (1,274) as Purdue’s Blough), completing only 57.5 percent with just five TDs (but also only five INTs in 186 attempts). However, unlike Purdue, Minnesota has a solid defense, allowing just 22.1 PPG (30th) on 342.8 YPG (21st).

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I’ll use a word of caution here, noting that the Golden Gophers have covered just once in the seven instances when they’re favored by at least 10 points.  but they enter this game on a three-game winnings streak (averaging 35.0 PPG), while the Boilermakers enter on a three-game losing streak while allowing 46.0 PPG (have been out-scored 62-7 in the second half the past two weeks). What’s more, Minnesota has won the last three times it has faced Purdue (2015, 2014 and 2013), averaging 41.3 PPG. Lay the points.

Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Purdue Boilermakers Point Spread Pick: October 29th 2016

PENN STATE VS. PURDUE BETTINGPenn State Nittany Lions vs. Purdue Boilermakers
Football Betting Pick: Purdue +13.5 points (October 29th 2016)

Purdue has been more competitive under interim coach Gerad Parker and catches Penn State in a monster letdown spot.

The Nittany Lions are on the road after just upsetting previously undefeated Ohio State at home last Saturday. It’s a double whammy for Penn State, which is 3-12 ATS after covering a game and 3-14-2 ATS in its last 19 away contests.

Penn State hasn’t traveled in four weeks. This is only its third road game of the season. The Nittany Lions are 0-2 on the road giving up an average of 45 1/2 points to Pittsburgh and Michigan. Penn State is 0-7-1 ATS the past eight times it has been a road favorite and has lost straight-up seven straight times away from home under James Franklin.

Parker’s first game as interim head coach was last week. Purdue was a 24-point road ‘dog to then ninth-ranked and now seventh-ranked Nebraska. The Boilermakers played hard, led 14-10 at halftime and gave the Cornhuskers a scare before losing, 27-14. The Boilermakers have covered seven of the last eight times following a loss.

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Purdue has some decent skill position talent that can take advantage of Penn State giving up an average of 4.7 yards per rush and 203 yards rushing a game. The Boilermakers have been weak defensively, but received a boost from 345-pound tackle Lorenzo Neal, who recorded three tackles behind the line of scrimmage versus the Cornhuskers. Parker should have Purdue playing hard again this week with the team still alive for a bowl berth.

Purdue vs. Cincinnati Football Over-Under Odds & Pick from Jeff Alexander: September 10th 2016

BEARCATS OVER UNDER BETTINGPurdue Boilermakers vs. Cincinnati Bearcats
Over-Under Football Pick: Under 59 points -110 odds (September 10th 2016)

This line has already dropped from 62 down to 59, so if you are going to bet it, do so quickly. It’s dropping for a reason. Cincinnati is known as a great offensive team, as they have finished each of the last 5 seasons averaging over 32 ppg. They aren’t the same offensive team in 2016, as they don’t have the experience or talent at wide receiver to run their pass-happy attack. The Bearcats lost their top 6 pass catchers from 2015. Head coach Tommy Tuberville has came out and said they are going to run a more possession based attack this year. The offense certainly didn’t look great in the opener, as they only scored 28 points against Tennessee-Martin. That’s the same Tennessee-Martin team that gave up 76 to Ole Miss and 63 to Arkansas last year and 59 to Kentucky and 45 to Mississippi State the year before. I don’t think it was just a bad game for the Cincinnati offense in the opener. The defense is improved and while Purdue scored 45 in their opener, they are not going to be a great offensive team. I think this is going to be a defensive battle that comes no where close to the 60 points needed for this to go over the total. Cash the UNDER 59 on Saturday!

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