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Posts Tagged ‘Purdue Boilermakers’

Illinois vs. Purdue Basketball Point Spread Pick from Jack Jones: March 11th 2016

Jack Jones - College Basketball PickIllinois vs. Purdue
Basketball Point Spread Pick: Purdue -11 points (March 11th 2016)

The Illinois Fighting Illini have already had to play two games in the Big Ten Tournament. They made easy work of Rutgers before escaping with a 68-66 upset win over Iowa yesterday. Now they will be playing their 3rd game in 3 days and won’t have much left to give today.

Meanwhile, Purdue has been waiting to play its first game after receiving a double-bye in the Big Ten Tournament. I’ll gladly back the fresh Boilermakers, who should have no problem putting away the Illini by 11-plus points.

Illinois is 9-19 ATS as an underdog over the last two seasons. Purdue is 8-1 ATS in March road games over the last three seasons. Purdue is 7-0 ATS in road games revenging a loss vs. opponent of 10 or more points over the last three years. Illinois is ts in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams who make 72% or more of their attempts over the last two years. Bet Purdue Friday.

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Purdue vs. Maryland Odds: Jones betting the Terrapins -4 points on February 6th 2016

Jack Jones - College Basketball PickPurdue Boilermakers vs. Maryland Terrapins
NBA Pick: Maryland -4 points (February 6th 2016)

The Maryland Terrapins host the Purdue Boilermakers in a key Big Ten battle Saturday. While oddsmakers expect a close game with Maryland only favored by 4, I see it playing out much differently.

Maryland is right up there with Michigan State, Iowa and Indiana as the four best teams in the Big Ten. While the Purdue Boilermakers are a solid team, they are in the next tier down among the 5-8 best teams in the conference.

Purdue has not fared great on the road recently. It has lost to Illinois by 14, to Iowa by 12, and barely beat Minnesota by 4 as 14-point favorites in three of its last four road games. Now it must face a Maryland team that is a perfect 12-0 at home this season and outscoring opponents by 17.7 points per game in the process.

Purdue is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 road games after four straight games where it outrebounded its opponent by 6 or more boards. Maryland is 17-5 ATS in its last 22 home games following three straight conference wins. The Terrapins are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 Big Ten games. Bet Maryland Saturday.

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Ohio State vs. Purdue Odds: Teddy Covers betting the Boilermakers -12 on January 21st 2016

Teddy Covers - College Basketball PickOhio State Buckeyes vs. Purdue Boilermakers
Betting Prediction: Purdue -12 points -110 odds (January 21st 2016)

Matt Painter’s Boilermakers have been overshadowed by some of the other Big 10 heavyweights this year, much like last year and the year before. That’s a big part of the reason why Purdue has been such a good pointspread team.

The results don’t lie. Purdue is 22-9 ATS in their last 31 against Big 10 competition; 36-15 ATS in their last 51 lined games overall. Michigan State, Maryland, Iowa and Indiana get the hype, but Purdue’s backers get the money!

Coach Painter’s rotation goes ten deep, with all ten players averaging between 13 and 26 minutes per game without a ‘superstar’ to attract betting market attention. The Boilermakers are big and physical, #1 in the country with a +12.8 rebounding margin. They are patient on the offensive end of the court, averaging more than 18 assists per game, ranked #10 in the country in that key statistical category. They hit their free throws at a 74% clip. And they’re winning games by margin – all eleven home victories this year have come by a dozen points or more. Expect #12 to come tonight!

I want no part of Ohio State in any hostile environment against a quality foe right now. Their last two road games have been complete and utter disasters. Ohio State trailed by 30 at halftime at Indiana, unable to make plays on either end of the court to stem the Hoosiers run.

Following a bounceback home win against hapless Rutgers, the Buckeyes went to Maryland last weekend and got annihilated again. The 35 point loss to the Terps (they trailed by as many as 44 in the second half) was the single worst loss of the entire 12 year Thad Matta era at Ohio State.

What’s going on? Why are these Buckeyes getting annihilated by quality foes in road games while every other recent squad has been competitive? Simple – Ohio State is fundamentally different this year when it comes to experience and poise. Matta lost four key players following the 2014 campaign, and lost six more after their early exit from the NCAA Tournament last March.

The end result of all of that roster depletion? Well, Ohio State has no seniors on the roster this year, and only one junior. That is as young as it gets at the NCAA level. And young teams like the Buckeyes often take time to jell and gain confidence, particularly on the highway. Take Purdue.

Purdue vs. Illinois College Basketball Betting Pick from Jack Jones: January 10th 2016

Jack Jones - College Basketball PickPurdue Boilermakers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini
College Basketball Pick: Illinois +10 points (January 10th 2016)

The results of the last games by Illinois and Purdue have really forced oddsmakers to inflate this line. Purdue crushed Michigan 87-70 at home while Illinois was blown out 54-79 at Michigan State. Now is the time to buy low on Illinois and sell high on Purdue Sunday.

Illinois is going to be hungry for its first Big Ten win after opening 0-3 in conference play. But it lost by 10 to Michigan and by 2 at Ohio State before getting throttled by the Spartans. But the Illini didn’t have leading scorer Kendrick Nunn (18.5 ppg, 5.5 rpg) for that Michigan State game, and he’s expected to return today, which will give them a big boost.

The closely-contested nature of this series in recent meetings makes me like the Illini catching double-digits as well. Five of the last six meetings have been decided by 9 points or less. Illinois has not lost to Purdue by more than 8 points in any of the last six meetings as well.

Illinois is 9-2 ATS when playing only its 2nd game in a week over the last two seasons. The underdog is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings in this series. Purdue is 19-37 ATS in its last 56 road games after playing two consecutive games as a home favorite. Bet Illinois Sunday.

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