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Purdue vs. Minnesota NCAA Football Betting Pick from Larry Ness: November 5th 2016

PURDUE VS. MINNESOTA BETTING FOOTBALLPurdue Boilermakers vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers
College Football Pick: Minnesota -17 points (November 5th 2016)
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Purdue enters on a 3-game losing streak while allowing 46.0 PPG…My free play is on Minnesota at 3:30 ET.

Minnesota is quietly still in the Big Ten West Division race, as the Golden Gophers are 6-2 overall, including 3-2 in league play. That places them just one game back of No. 10 Nebraska, while being tied with No. 8 Wisconsin, Iowa and Northwestern. Minnesota has games still remaining against all the aforementioned teams, save Iowa. However, up first, the Golden Gophers host a 3-5 Purdue team, which is just 1-4 in Big Ten play.

Minnesota enters the contest off three straight wins, including a 49-17 rout on the road last Saturday at Illinois. Purdue comes in off three straight losses, getting outscored 45-7 in the second half of their 62-24 loss at Penn State (Nittany Lions are now No. 12 in the CFP rankings). Purdue QB David Blough completed a career-high 34 passes on 50 attempts last week against Penn State and has at least one TD pass in every game this season. He’s thrown for 2,346 yards but owns a modest 57.8 completion percentage, as well as a so-so 16-12 ratio. He gets almost no help from a running game averaging 111.0 YPG (120th) on 3.6 YPC. The defense allows 36.9 PPG (116th) on 444.9 YPG (104th).

Minnesota runs the ball well, averaging 207.2 YPG (37th) on YPC. The Gophers own an excellent duo in Rodney Smith (801 yards on 5.2 YPC with 10 TDs) and Shannon Brooks (472 yards on 5.1 YPC with five TDs). QB Leidner is a liability, throwing a for about half as many yards (1,274) as Purdue’s Blough), completing only 57.5 percent with just five TDs (but also only five INTs in 186 attempts). However, unlike Purdue, Minnesota has a solid defense, allowing just 22.1 PPG (30th) on 342.8 YPG (21st).

Get more Purdue Boilermakers and Minnesota Golden Gophers betting predictions from Larry Ness each week at Touthouse.com

I’ll use a word of caution here, noting that the Golden Gophers have covered just once in the seven instances when they’re favored by at least 10 points.  but they enter this game on a three-game winnings streak (averaging 35.0 PPG), while the Boilermakers enter on a three-game losing streak while allowing 46.0 PPG (have been out-scored 62-7 in the second half the past two weeks). What’s more, Minnesota has won the last three times it has faced Purdue (2015, 2014 and 2013), averaging 41.3 PPG. Lay the points.

Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Purdue Boilermakers Point Spread Pick: October 29th 2016

PENN STATE VS. PURDUE BETTINGPenn State Nittany Lions vs. Purdue Boilermakers
Football Betting Pick: Purdue +13.5 points (October 29th 2016)
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Purdue has been more competitive under interim coach Gerad Parker and catches Penn State in a monster letdown spot.

The Nittany Lions are on the road after just upsetting previously undefeated Ohio State at home last Saturday. It’s a double whammy for Penn State, which is 3-12 ATS after covering a game and 3-14-2 ATS in its last 19 away contests.

Penn State hasn’t traveled in four weeks. This is only its third road game of the season. The Nittany Lions are 0-2 on the road giving up an average of 45 1/2 points to Pittsburgh and Michigan. Penn State is 0-7-1 ATS the past eight times it has been a road favorite and has lost straight-up seven straight times away from home under James Franklin.

Parker’s first game as interim head coach was last week. Purdue was a 24-point road ‘dog to then ninth-ranked and now seventh-ranked Nebraska. The Boilermakers played hard, led 14-10 at halftime and gave the Cornhuskers a scare before losing, 27-14. The Boilermakers have covered seven of the last eight times following a loss.

Get more Purdue Boilermakers and Penn State Nittany Lions point spread picks from Stephen Nover at Touthouse.com

Purdue has some decent skill position talent that can take advantage of Penn State giving up an average of 4.7 yards per rush and 203 yards rushing a game. The Boilermakers have been weak defensively, but received a boost from 345-pound tackle Lorenzo Neal, who recorded three tackles behind the line of scrimmage versus the Cornhuskers. Parker should have Purdue playing hard again this week with the team still alive for a bowl berth.