Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Purdue Boilermakers
Football Betting Pick: Purdue +13.5 points (October 29th 2016)
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Purdue has been more competitive under interim coach Gerad Parker and catches Penn State in a monster letdown spot.
The Nittany Lions are on the road after just upsetting previously undefeated Ohio State at home last Saturday. It’s a double whammy for Penn State, which is 3-12 ATS after covering a game and 3-14-2 ATS in its last 19 away contests.
Penn State hasn’t traveled in four weeks. This is only its third road game of the season. The Nittany Lions are 0-2 on the road giving up an average of 45 1/2 points to Pittsburgh and Michigan. Penn State is 0-7-1 ATS the past eight times it has been a road favorite and has lost straight-up seven straight times away from home under James Franklin.
Parker’s first game as interim head coach was last week. Purdue was a 24-point road ‘dog to then ninth-ranked and now seventh-ranked Nebraska. The Boilermakers played hard, led 14-10 at halftime and gave the Cornhuskers a scare before losing, 27-14. The Boilermakers have covered seven of the last eight times following a loss.
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Purdue has some decent skill position talent that can take advantage of Penn State giving up an average of 4.7 yards per rush and 203 yards rushing a game. The Boilermakers have been weak defensively, but received a boost from 345-pound tackle Lorenzo Neal, who recorded three tackles behind the line of scrimmage versus the Cornhuskers. Parker should have Purdue playing hard again this week with the team still alive for a bowl berth.
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Cincinnati Bearcats
Over-Under Football Pick: Under 59 points -110 odds (September 10th 2016)
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This line has already dropped from 62 down to 59, so if you are going to bet it, do so quickly. It’s dropping for a reason. Cincinnati is known as a great offensive team, as they have finished each of the last 5 seasons averaging over 32 ppg. They aren’t the same offensive team in 2016, as they don’t have the experience or talent at wide receiver to run their pass-happy attack. The Bearcats lost their top 6 pass catchers from 2015. Head coach Tommy Tuberville has came out and said they are going to run a more possession based attack this year. The offense certainly didn’t look great in the opener, as they only scored 28 points against Tennessee-Martin. That’s the same Tennessee-Martin team that gave up 76 to Ole Miss and 63 to Arkansas last year and 59 to Kentucky and 45 to Mississippi State the year before. I don’t think it was just a bad game for the Cincinnati offense in the opener. The defense is improved and while Purdue scored 45 in their opener, they are not going to be a great offensive team. I think this is going to be a defensive battle that comes no where close to the 60 points needed for this to go over the total. Cash the UNDER 59 on Saturday!
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Illinois vs. Purdue
Basketball Point Spread Pick: Purdue -11 points (March 11th 2016)
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The Illinois Fighting Illini have already had to play two games in the Big Ten Tournament. They made easy work of Rutgers before escaping with a 68-66 upset win over Iowa yesterday. Now they will be playing their 3rd game in 3 days and won’t have much left to give today.
Meanwhile, Purdue has been waiting to play its first game after receiving a double-bye in the Big Ten Tournament. I’ll gladly back the fresh Boilermakers, who should have no problem putting away the Illini by 11-plus points.
Illinois is 9-19 ATS as an underdog over the last two seasons. Purdue is 8-1 ATS in March road games over the last three seasons. Purdue is 7-0 ATS in road games revenging a loss vs. opponent of 10 or more points over the last three years. Illinois is ts in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams who make 72% or more of their attempts over the last two years. Bet Purdue Friday.
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