Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants
MLB Pick: Philly +1.5 -160 odds (May 8th 2013)
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The Phillies have won back to back games in San Francisco, and they can complete the sweep with a win on Wednesday. Once again they find themselves as the underdog against the defending champion Giants, but they appear to have a good matchup on the mound today.
The Giants send veteran Barry Zito to the hill, coming off back to back poor performances. Zito (3-1, 3.06 ERA) went five innings allowing a single on run on six hits in a 2-1 win over the Dodgers his last time out. While that doesn’t sound too bad, it’s the season high four walks and six hits that are reason for concern. He really struggled to throw strikes, using 95 pitches through five frames.
Prior to that he was torched for six runs on six hits over 3 2/3 innings in an 8-7 loss at San Diego. He hasn’t had any luck against the Phillies, going 0-2 with a 6.16 ERA in his last three starts against them. John Mayberry Jr. has really rocked Zito, going 4-for-6 lifetime, with three of those four hits being home runs. Chase Utley and Delmon Young have also feasted on the lefty, both hitting above .400 against him in their respective careers.
The Phillies hand the ball to Jonathan Pettibone, who at age 22 is 2-0 as a starter so far in his career. He allowed one run on five hits over 6 1/3 innings in a 4-1 win over Miami his last time out. It’s a relatively small sample size given he’s only got three career starts under his belt, but the kid gives us plenty of reason to be optimistic, and he should do just fine at pitcher friendly AT&T Park.
Take the Phillies +1.5. Get ALL of Jesse Schule’s expert MLB picks for May 8th 2013 on our premium sports picks page at Touthouse.com. You can also visit Handicapperspicks.com for more expert baseball picks from our network of handicappers.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants
MLB Prediction: Arizona +147 odds (April 24th 2013)
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Arizona picked up a win last night after dropping the series opener on Monday and it will be going for a big series sweep to help keep pace with the Giants and the fading Rockies. The Diamondbacks lost both series against the Yankees and Rockies but they did win the series finale of each. Ian Kennedy looks to build off his most recent start which was a quality outing at Colorado following back-to-back poor performances prior to that. He now has two quality outings in four starts and facing the Giants should notch him his third as he has had a ton of success against San Francisco, going 6-2 with a 2.38 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in 13 career starts including going 3-1 with a 2.66 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in seven starts at AT&T Park. The Giants had their four-game winning streak snapped last night but are still a solid 8-3 at home. That is driving this moneyline up as is the fact that Madison Bumgarner has been pitching great. He is 3-0 with a 2.05 ERA and 0.91 WHIP in four starts, all of which have resulted in San Francisco wins. He has not had success against the Diamondbacks though as he has only one quality outing in his last six starts against them and last season, he went 0-3 and posted a 6.61 ERA and 1.71 WHIP in three starts, allowing four runs in each. Look for Arizona to head home with some momentum from a big series victory. Play (957) Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Game 7 Prediction: St. Louis Cardinals +127 odds (October 22nd 2012)
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On Monday the MLB N.L.C.S. Selection is on the Cardinals. Game 927 at 8:05 eastern. In Game 6, the San Francisco Giants beat the St. Louis Cardinals 6-runs-1 to force a series deciding Game 7. The San Francisco Giants have an overall Game 7 record of 0-3 and a Semifinals-round Game 7 record of 0-1. The St. Louis Cardinals have an overall Game 7 record of 11-4 with an active three-Game 7 winning streak, and a Semifinals-round Game 7 record of 3-1. The eleven Game 7 St. Louis wins lead MLB in best-of-7 playoff series next is the New York Yankees with six Game 7 wins. The Cardinals are now off a pair of 5 run losses and must rebound to make it back to the World Series and defend their title. The Cardinals wont be rattled here as they have plenty of big game experience. They are a solid 14-5 when playing on Monday and have better numbers here against Giants starter M.Cain, than the Giants do against Cardinals Starter K. Lohse. St. Louis has hit Cain well. In 3 starts against him this season they have scored 12 earned runs on 24 hits in 18+ innings. Lohse has pitched well vs the Giants and has won his last 3 starts against them. In his 2 most recent starts he has allowed just 2 runs in nearly 14 innings. In closing if you play against a home team in a game seven it must be one with the resolve to get the job done. The Cardinals have shown they can rise to the occasion in a big spot. Go with St. Louis tonight. On Monday we have a Perfect system play on the Total in Monday night Football. We have cashed Big in Prime time NFL Games this season and had a Big winner on the Steelers last night. With NFL tearing it up the last 3 + seasons we look to start the week big again.I will have another free play tonight on the weekly sports talk radio show segment. Listen Online at 88.9 wsia.fm. Jump on now. For the free play take St. Louis. RV
MLB Picks: August 29th 2012
San Francisco Giants vs. Houston Astros
Pick: Houston Astros +1.5 -105
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I know the Houston Astros have little to play for right now, but they are showing too good of value on the Run Line tonight to pass them up. Asking San Francisco to win by two runs is simply asking too much.
Barry Zito is getting way too much love from oddsmakers in this one. The left-hander is 10-8 with a 4.31 ERA and 1.374 WHIP in 25 starts, including 1-0 with a 5.19 ERA and 1.443 WHIP in his last three outings. Zito is 3-3 with a 5.09 ERA in seven career starts against Houston.
Dallas Keuchel is not getting the love he deserves tonight for Houston. The left-hander is 1-2 with a 3.18 ERA and 1.160 WHIP in six home starts in 2012. He is averaging 6.6 innings/start at home, where he has clearly been at his best all season.
San Francisco is 30-56 against the run line (-31.1 Units) vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse over the last 2 seasons. The Giants are 7-22 against the run line (-17.6 Units) vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Houston is 9-1 against the run line (+10.5 Units) in home games after scoring and allowing 5 runs or less last 4 games over the last 3 seasons. Bet the Astros on the Run Line.
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