Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangers
MLB Pick: Under 9 -110 odds (July 26th 2011)
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I’m playing the Under between the Twins & Rangers on Tuesday night. After blasting the Twins on Monday, I expect a low scoring game from both sides. Minnesota did what they normally do last night — they did little damage at the plate against a southpaw starter (zero earned runs in 6 innings). They’ll face a red-hot lefty in this one and despite last night’s 26 combined runs, the Twins are still on a 6-2-1 Under run in road games against lefthanders. C.J. Wilson has been excellent for most of the 2011 season. He’s held the opposition to 3 earned runs or less in 11 of his last 13 starts, holding eight of those teams to 2 earned runs or less. Wilson has been strong at home all summer and I expect more of the same in this one. Minnesota will counter with Carl Pavano. The righthander has been a much better pitcher at night than in day games. Pavano has also been excellent of late on the road. He’s held his last six hosts to 13 earned runs and 50 base runners in 44 innings. That’s a red-hot, 2.66 ERA & 1.13 WHIP. I expect Pavano to do the job against a Texas team that’s 7-2-1 to the Under in their last 10 games as a favorite. I’m playing the Under between the Twins & Rangers on Tuesday. Thanks! GL! Scott.
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins
MLB Baseball Pick: Minnesota Twins -125 MLB odds (July 17th 2011)
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I’m backing the Minnesota Twins on Sunday. Minnesota has dominated its division of late and they are right back in the “thick of things” in the AL Central standings, thanks to their current 26-12 run. I expect Minnesota to win today and gain yet another series win. Minnesota will send Brian Duensing to the bump. The former Nebraska Cornhusker has owned the Royals in his career and he’s been pretty strong for most of his last seven starts. In fact, even when we include his one bad outing, Duensing has a 2.47 ERA & 1.26 WHIP in his last seven appearances, allowing just 12 earned runs and 55 base runners in 43 2/3 IP. The lefty owns a sparkling 2.70 ERA & 1.18 WHIP in nine daytime starts this season and faces a lineup that’s truly struggled against southpaws away from home. The Royals have won just 14 of their last 43 on the road overall, while the Twins are on a 10-4 run at Target Field against Kansas City. The situations continue trending in the same direction. I’m backing the Twins on Sunday. Thanks! GL! Scott.
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
MLB Pick: Under 7.5 -110 odds (June 25th 2011)
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I’m playing the Under between the Angels & Dodgers on Saturday afternoon. Tyler Chatwood will take the mound for the visitors from Orange County. The righthander has been outstanding in his last two road starts, shutting out both the Mets and the Royals over 14 2/3 innings, combined. Chatwood would rather throw in daytime action, where he sports a solid 2.97 ERA & 1.32 WHIP in six starts. He’ll face a Dodger lineup that has scored 3 runs or less in 10 games in June. They have been at their run-scoring worst when Hiroki Kuroda takes the mound, scoring a grand total of just 20 runs in his last 10 starts. Kuroda has been excellent at home where he owns a 1.20 WHIP, and he has allowed just 5 earned runs in his last four starts, spanning 24 2/3 innings. And like his counterpart, the Japanese import enjoys pitching under the sun, sporting a 2.79 ERA & 1.29 WHIP this season. He’ll face a Halo lineup that averages just 3.8 rpg against righties, while the Dodgers aren’t likely to score a lot either, plating just 2.3 rpg in home day action against righthanders. I expect a low scoring game and I’m recommending a play on the Under between the Angels & Dodgers. Thanks! GL! Scott.
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