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Posts Tagged ‘Tampa Bay Rays’

New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays Prediction from Teddy Covers: May 19th 2017

New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays
MLB Prediction: Yanks -123 odds (May 19th 2017)

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The Yankees red hot lineup got cooled off by Danny Duffy last night, but I’m not expecting any sort of longer term decline.  A squad that leads the majors with 17 games this season in which they’ve produced seven runs or more is live to do it again tonight in Tampa against Rays spot starter Erasmo Ramirez.  This is a lineup worthy of support following a loss in which they got shut down completely; 8-2 in their last ten games on the highway.

And the Yanks are catching Tampa in a ‘fat and happy’ spot, returning home off their first winning road trip in nearly a year.  The Rays just hit ten home runs in Cleveland in their three game series, now returning home to the Trop where the ball just doesn’t carry as well as it does in most other ballparks.  This Rays lineup is not primed to batter Luis Severino and the elite Yankees bullpen behind him.

Severino’s advanced metric stats are truly stellar.  His xFIP is sitting at 2.87, nearly a full run lower than his ERA.  Severino has an excellent 50% ground ball rate and he’s striking out more than ten batters per nine innings while walking only two.

Severino held the Rays to two runs on five hits while striking out 11 batters in a dominant seven inning performance in his lone start against Tampa this year.  His numbers this season and for his career clearly show that the best place to back Severino is on the highway, because he just doesn’t allow many home runs in pitcher friendly venues like this one.

Behind Severino, the Yanks rank #2 in MLB in bullpen ERA, suffering only three bullpen losses all year.  The Rays bullpen has suffered ten losses already and they rank outside the top half of MLB in bullpen ERA.  That’s bad news with Ramirez on the hill, because he’s not going to eat up many innings, lasting only five in his lone previous start this season and coming off a 28 pitch effort out of the bullpen on Sunday.  Short road chalk worth laying!  Take the Yankees.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays Betting Pick from Larry Ness: May 5th 2017

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays
MLB Betting Pick: Tampa Bay -134 odds (May 5th 2017)

These AL East rivals have seen a lot of each other in 2017, with the Rays taking three of four from Toronto in an early series at Tropicana Field and the Jays winning two of three when they played at Rogers Centre just last weekend.

Toronto’s recovered from a 1-9 start to go 8-10 its last 18 but at 9-19, the Jays own the worst record in MLB. It hasn’t helped that third-baseman Josh Donaldson (calf) has been sidelined since April 13 while shortstop Tulowitzki (hamstring) has been out since April 21. However, both could return early next week. The Rays beat Miami 5-1 on Thursday and have won three of their last four games, allowing just four runs in those three victories, to reach 15-15.

The two teams square off at Tropicana Field for the first of a three-game series Friday night. Francisco Liriano (2-2, 3.97 ERA) opens the series for Toronto, while Chris Archer (2-1, 3.43 ERA) will take the mound for Tampa Bay. Liriano beat the Rays last Saturday in Toronto, allowing just one run on four hits over five innings. Liriano is 3-3 with a 5.49 ERA in 12 career appearances (11 starts / teams are 5-6) vs the Rays but he has struggled this season with his control, so far. He’s walked 15 batters in just 22.2 innings.

Chris Archer is off a ‘nightmare’ season in 2016, when he went 9-19 with a 4.02 ERA in 33 starts. The Rays were 10-23 in those starts, giving him a MLB-worst minus-$1553 moneyline mark. Archer has gone win-less in his last three outings (0-2 with a 4.74 ERA / team is 1-2) but in his most recent start (April 30), he allowed just one ER on four hits in a no-decison against the Blue Jays (Toronto won 3-1). He is 6-4 with a 3.06 ERA in 21 career starts against the Blue Jays (Rays are 12-9).

Archer already owns two good starts against Toronto in 2017 (1.80 ERA) but has had to settle for two no-decisions. He’s handled the Blue Jays well, giving two ERs or less in 12 of his last 13 starts against them. Considering that the Jays are only 6-11 on the road (allowing 5.9 RPG) to open the season and that the Rays are 10-5 at home, where they have averaged 5.20 RPG, make Archer and Tampa Bay the play.

MLB Pick: Brandon Lee betting the Tampa Bay Rays -109 odds on April 30th 2017

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays
MLB Betting Pick: Rays -109 odds (April 30th 2017)

Tampa Bay is worth a look here against the Blue Jays. The Rays will send out Chris Archer, who has struggled in his last two outings after a great first 3 starts of the season. I like Archer’s chances of returning to form here against a Blue Jays offense that has struggle in the first month. Toronto is only scoring 3.6 runs/game (3.0 runs/game at home) and hitting a mere .229 as a team. I also think this is a good spot to go against Blue Jays starter Aaron Sanchez. He hasn’t pitched since 4/14 because of a blister and they are going to be cautious with him, which means there’s a good chance Tampa Bay’s offense gets into that Toronto bullpen early (5.97 ERA at home). Give me the Rays -109!

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