Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
MLB Baseball Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks +107 odds (September 12th 2011)
The Diamondbacks continue to show great value late in the year. Arizona lost 6-7 to the Padres on Sunday, but already had won the first three games of that series and are 7-2 over there last nine games. The Dodgers have also been playing some strong baseball over the last couple weeks, but are just 2-4 at home against the Dbacks this season. I also think the Diamondbacks have the edge in starting pitching in this one. Arizona will send out Joe Saunders against Ted Lilly. Saunders is 10-12 with a 3.98 ERA on the year, but a respectable 7-7 with a 3.53 ERA on the road. Lilly is 9-13 with a 4.37 ERA on the year and has really struggled against Arizona over his career, going 4-7 with a 5.09 ERA. The Diamondbacks are 10-1 in their last 11 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game, 22-8 in their last 30 vs. National League West, and -3 in Saunders’ last 11 starts vs. a team with a losing record. BET THE DIAMONDBACKS! Get more MLB baseball picks from Steve Janus at Touthouse.com
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -153 MLB odds (August 15th 2011)
Visit Touthouse.com for more MLB picks from Bob Wingerter
The Los Angeles Dodgers are doing something their organization isn’t used to doing in mid-August, simply playing out the season. The Dodgers have won three in a row, 5-5 in their last 10 games, and 24-30 on the road this season. As a team Los Angeles is hitting .252 led by Matt Kemp at .320, Andre Ethier at .299, and Jamey Carroll at .295. As a team the Dodgers pitching staff has a combined ERA of 3.77 with the starters at 3.66 and the bullpen at 4.02. For game one at Miller Park Los Angeles starts Ted Lilly who has lost his last two starts. For the season Lilly has allowed 141 hits and 72 earned runs while striking out 106 in 137.2 innings of work.
Milwaukee is 16-3 in their last 19 home games against a team with a losing road record, 5-2 in their last seven games against a left handed starter, and 7-1 in Wolf’s last eight home starts. Los Angeles is 5-2 in their last seven road games, 5-11 in their last 16 games against a left handed starter, and 1-5 in Lilly’s last six road starts. Los Angeles has won five of the last six meetings of these two. TAKE MILWAUKEE MINUS
Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers -131 MLB Line (July 23rd 2011)
Visit Touthouse.com for more expert sports picks from Rob Vinciletti
On Saturday the Free MLB System Side is on the Dodgers. Game 966 at 10:10 eastern. The Dodgers fit a nice system that plays on home favorites in this range that are off a home favored loss by 5 or more runs and scored 2 or less runs on 4 or less hits with 5 or more men stranded and no more than 1 errors vs an opponent off a road dog win by 5 or more runs that also had 5 or more men left on base. The Dodgers have won 3 of 4 in the second half vs losing teams and Washington is just 14-32 as a road dog from +100 to +125 the past few years. Both pitchers Lilly and Gorzelanny are leftys and the Dodgers hit 25 points higher than Washington vs leftys. Lilly has a 2.49 era vs the Nationals in 8 starts while Gorzelanny has struggled on the road at 1-6 with a 5.11 era. Look for the Dodgers to even the series. Too high a line to unit rate but a nice free play. On Saturday the lead play is the 6 unit National League Game of the Year from a 17-0 system that wins by over 3 runs per game, is priced right and has several angles and advantages. Also on the card is another 92% side and a 91% totals system. Jump on and cash out on Saturday. For the free play take the Dodgers. RV
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
MLB Prediction: San Diego Padres +106 odds (July 10th 2011)
Visit Touthouse.com for more expert MLB predictions from Black Widow
The San Diego Padres have lost the first two games of this series 1-0 to the Dodgers. There’s no question they are going to be highly motivated heading into Game 3 this afternoon, and we fully expect them to avoid the sweep with a victory Sunday. Tim Stauffer is one of the most underrated starters in the game. Stauffer is 5-5 with a 2.97 ERA and 1.196 WHIP in 18 starts this year, while Ted Lilly is 5-9 with a 4.94 ERA and 1.294 WHIP in 18 starts this season. We’re clearly backing the better starter in this one as the Padres should not be an underdog with Stauffer on the mound. Lilly has really been roughed up of late, going 0-3 with an 8.80 ERA in his last 3 starts. Stauffer is 3-0 with a 1.84 ERA in his last five starts versus Los Angeles, allowing only 6 earned runs in 29 1/3 innings. Stauffer is 11-3 (+11.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. The Padres are 8-3 in their last 11 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. The Dodgers are 1-5 in Lilly’s last 6 home starts. L.A. is 0-4 in Lilly’s last 4 starts overall. The Padres are 5-0 in Stauffers last 5 starts vs. Dodgers. Take the Padres on the Money Line.
***#3 MLB Capper from 2010 & #10 MLB Capper in 2011!*** The Widow has netted +2824 units wagering 100 units/play since 2010, meaning his $1,000/game MLB players have won $28,240 L2 years! Come get a taste of these profits with The Widow’s Sunday MLB Trifecta for $35.00 featuring these winners:
