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Posts Tagged ‘Tennessee Volunteers’

Georgia vs. Tennessee: Brandon Shively betting the Vols +3 on October 10th 2015

Brandon Shively - College Football PickGeorgia Bulldogs vs. Tennessee Volunteers
Football Betting Pick: Tennessee +3 (October 10th 2015)

Georgia comes into this game beat up physically and demoralized after losing to Alabama last week. That was a game that the school really wanted to win. Now, they have to travel to Knoxville to face a Tennessee Vols team that is in dire need of a win and with a bye week on deck, they will be fully focused on this game.

The Vols come into this game only 2-3 on the season. They have had a double digit lead in all three of their losses (vs. Oklahoma, Florida, and Arkansas). So this is a team that is VERY close to being 5-0, but instead is 2-3. If they were 5-0, then the Vols would be at least a 3 point favorite here. But instead, we are catching them getting points at home getting great value. Butch Jones is 3-1 ATS as a homedog with the Vols.

Looking at last year’s game, the Vols almost upset Georgia on the road losing 35-32. This is a much improved Vols team this season from when that game was played last year in Week 4. Worley was the QB for the Vols at the time. Joshua Dobbs gives the Vols much more flexibility and chances to make explosive plays with his legs. Also the Vols offensive line is a lot better. Through 5 games, the Vols have only allowed 10 sacks. At this time last year, the quarterback was getting clobbered at a record pace.

Georgia was +16 in turnover margin last year. It is hard to duplicate such success 2 years in a row. This season they are -even- in turnover margin.

The Georgia quarterback Grayson Lambert is making only his 2nd career road start in the SEC. His first was @ Vandy a few weeks ago and Georgia won 31-14, but Lambert was only 11-for-21 for 116 yards. Against Alabama last week, Lambert was 10-for-24 for 86 yards only. He best games this season were vs. Southern, Louisiana Monroe, and South Carolina. Point being Lambert is not ready to step up vs. stiffer competition. Nick Chubb can’t do it all himself either.

In Georgia’s only road game this season, they beat Vanderbilt, 31-14, but needed a pick 6 and a punt return for a touchdown to beat them. The offense only scored 17 points. Also a terrible Vandy pass offense had 295 yards passing against the Bulldogs defense which is another red flag.

Special teams: The Bulldogs special teams is way down this season. They rank last in the nation in kickoff returns (14 yards per return). They rank 119th in punting at only 32 yards per punt and they also rank 87th and 85th in punt and kickoff coverage. Tennessee is ranked #1 in kickoffs returns and #6 in punting. Big Special Teams advantage for the Vols.

Look for a motivated Tennessee team to come out of town with a cover this Saturday vs. a Georgia team that is beat up and still trying to get over their embarrassing loss to Alabama last week.

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Brandon Shively’s Football Betting Pick: Tennesse vs. Florida: September 26th 2015

Brandon Shively - College Football PickTennessee Volunteers vs. Florida Gators
College Football Betting Pick: Tennessee -119 odds (September 26th 2015)

This is the year that Tennessee to go into Gainesville and gets the win and this is my reasoning behind it.

In Florida’s last 10 wins vs. Tennessee, Florida has outrushed Tennessee. I think this is the year that Tennessee has more rushing yards than Florida, and in effect get the win here. The Vols have the better running backs, offensive line, and quarterback.

Through 3 games, Tennessee is averaging 246 yards a game with Jalen Hurd and Kamura in the backfield toting the load.

Last year, Tennessee only had 28 rushing yards vs. Florida. It was the 5th game of the season and the offensive line was VERY young at this point at time as the Vols had only 6 returning starters on the line to begin the season. This year the O-line is much more experienced and they have a much more dynamic QB in Joshua Dobbs. Justin Worley was the QB last year when the Vols played the Gators. (Worley got sacked 6 times and the box score read 7 rushes for -45 yards). Joshua Dobbs has the quickness to escape the pocket and use his feet to make plays.

Suspensions: Florida’s Jalen Tabor is suspended for this game. Tabor made a big play in last year’s game as he sacked, stripped, and recovered a fumble by Worley that was the turning point in last year’s game. Also Florida’s backup QB Treon Harris is suspended for this game. Harris was also instrumental in last year’s win vs. the Vols.

Additional Key Stats: Tennessee is ranked 8th in the nation in turnover margin and ranked 3rd in kickoff returns.

While Florida still has a stingy defense, it is the offense that is still a work in progress. While Tennessee had the inexperienced offensive line last year, it is Florida this season that has the inexperience on the line as they only have one returning starter on the line. Running back Kelvin Taylor is only averaging 3.9 yards a carry and that has been against lesser teams of New Mexico State, East Carolina, and Kentucky.

Tennessee starting senior safety LaDarrell McNeil returned from an injury last week with an interception against West Carolina. Curt Maggitt, the Vols senior linebacker, is out for the season but he is travelling with the team on Saturday and he will be the team’s emotional and vocal leader on the sideline.

Tennessee has had an extra week to re-focus after the Oklahoma loss by playing Western Carolina last week. The Vols are the more talented and experienced team at most of the skill positions in this game. While this game is being played in Gainesville, it is a 3:30 PM EST start time and I don’t think it is as much as an advantage as if it was being played at night time under the lights.

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Tennessee vs. Arkansas Basketball Pick from Scott Spreitzer: March 13th 2015

Spreitzer - College Basketball PickTennessee vs. Arkansas
College Basketball Pick: Arkansas -6 (March 13th 2015)

I’m recommending a play on Arkansas minus the points on Friday. Arkansas is set for the NCAA tournament but the Razorbacks still have plenty of incentive because they’re determined to win their first conference tournament game since 2008. Of course, this is easily the best team Arkansas has had since then and the Razorbacks have the top scoring tandem in the SEC in forward Bobby Portis and guard Michael Qualls who average 17.8 and 15.3 points, respectively. Tennessee is led by guard Josh Richardson who averages 15.8 points. The Volunteers are just 11-18-2 ATS and if it’s possible to have a letdown in a conference tournament this would be it because Tennessee is coming off a big revenge win against their in-state rival Vanderbilt yesterday. Arkansas is coming off a loss against LSU which got hot and shot 50 percent from the floor while the Razorbacks missed 7 out of 25 three-point attempts. Look for Arkansas to bounce back with the win and cover on Friday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

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