Memphis vs. Tennessee
College Basketball Prediction: January 4th 2013
Pick: Tennessee -2
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The Tennessee Volunteers should be a bigger home favorite tonight against the Memphis Tigers. I’ll gladly back the Vols at this price as they look to remain unbeaten on their home floor this year.

Tennessee is off to an 8-3 start this year, which includes a perfect 6-0 home record. Its only losses have come on the road to Oklahoma State, Georgetown and Virginia. It has even beaten a very good Wichita State team as well as Xavier at home this year.

Memphis comes in overvalued due to its 9-3 start, which features very few impressive wins. Its three losses have comes to Louisville, Minnesota and Virginia Commonwealth, all by 9 points or more. Somehow, the Tigers have yet to play a true road game as this will be their first one tonight. That first true road game is always tough for any team.

The Vols want revenge from two losses to Memphis last season, including a 99-97 overtime setback on a neutral court. Neither of those losses were at Tennessee last year, so they’ll relish this opportunity for payback at home tonight.

Memphis is 0-6 ATS after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons. Tennessee is 6-0 ATS in home games after scoring 55 points or less over the last 2 seasons. The Tigers are 16-34-1 ATS in their last 51 non-conference games. The Vols are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 home games overall. Bet Tennessee Friday.

College Football Picks: October 13th 2012
Tennessee vs. Mississippi State
Pick: Tennessee +3
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Mississippi State is 5-0 but it hasn’t played anybody yet. Tennessee is 3-2 but its losses came to Florida and Georgia – teams currently ranked in the top 15. The Vols also have an impressive 35-21 win over an NC State team that upset Florida State.

Tennessee has had a bye week to prepare for this game, and it’s hungry for a signature win. Because it has been battle tested early, I believe it can go into Starkville and come out with a “W”.

The Vols have won 6 in a row against the Bulldogs with each of those coming by at least 10 points.

Mississippi State has been good defensively against weak competition. They rank 11th in the country in scoring defense with 13.4 points allowed per game. However, it is worth noting that Tennessee is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 road games versus good defensive teams that give up 14 points or less per game. The Vols have only lost by an average of .4 points in this situation.

Much of Mississippi State’s early success can be traced back to the turnovers it has been able to force. The Vols know a thing or two about forcing turnovers as well. The fact they’ve come up with 3 takeaways in each of their last two games is significant. Consider that plays on road teams when the line is +3 to -3 after 2 consecutive games where they forced 3 or more turnovers are 24-4 ATS the last 5 seasons. This system tightens up to a perfect 9-0 ATS the last 3 seasons.

Tennessee has one of the most explosive offenses in the country. It averages over 506 yards per game and might be averaging over 600 yards per game had it played Mississippi State’s schedule. I’ll take the points as I believe the Tennessee offense will be a little too much for the Bulldogs.

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UL Monroe vs. Tennessee
Pick: Tennessee -21 (November 16th 2011)
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On Wednesday night the free NCAAB Play is on the Tennessee Volunteers. Game 746 at 7:00 eastern. Tennessee opened their season with a solid win and covers vs UNC Greensboro, coasting by nearly 30 points while shooting 64% from the field. They have won all 14 games they have played vs Sun Belt Conference teams covering both times the last 3 seasons. Tonight they take on an LA. Monroe team that dropped their first 2 games, on the road vs an other SEC team in Ole Miss in a game where they lost by 22 mustering only 38 points on 28% shooting. They followed that dismal effort with a home loss to Indiana St in a game where they again struggled to get their offense going shooting just 36%. Now they travel to Tennessee knowing they have lost their last 27 games to SEC Teams and are just 1-9 ats the last 10 vs these tougher schools from this conference. Look for Tennessee to coast and deal Monroe another blowout loss. On Wednesday we have a solid Triple pack. The 95% NCAAF MAC Conference Game of the Month, a Big NHL Total of the week that has 7 Powerful angles and a Live NCAAB Dog with Bite that may win outright. College Hoops and NHL Have bolted out to a hot start and NCAAF is 10-4 the last 2+ weeks, Jump on now and be on the giving end of Hump day. For the free play take Tennessee. -Rob Vinciletti

Alabama vs. Tennessee
Prediction: Tennessee +28.5 (October 22nd 2011)
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The Tennessee Volunteers (3-3 SU, 2-2-2 ATS, 3-2-1 O/U) have lost two straight games while failing to cover the spread in each contest, including their 38-7 rout at the hands of No. 1 LSU last Saturday as a 16.5-point home underdog. The Alabama Crimson Tide (7-0 SU, 6-1 ATS, 4-3 O/U) remained unbeaten by throttling Mississippi 52-7 to cash in as a whopping 27.5-point road favorite while improving to 4-0 ATS over its L/4 games. Now, the Tide will try to extend their winning ways when they host the Vols in this Week 8 SEC showdown.

Analysis: While the Crimson Tide blasted Tennessee off the field in last season’s 41-10 home rout over the Vols as a 17-point favorite, I’m going to advise college football bettors everywhere to play the Vols to narrowly cover the spread in a losing effort. Yes, Tennessee just lost by 31 points against No.1 LSU and sure, Alabama will want to put on an impressive performance in this contest, but I don’t like this enormous point spread one iota. The Road team in this series is 13-2-1 ATS in the L/16 meetings and Tennessee has recorded a nearly perfect 9-1 ATS mark in its L/10 games as an underdog of more than 10.5 points. Tennessee is also 6-1-1 ATS in their L/8 road games against Alabama and I like them to narrowly come through in this one. Get more college football predictions this Saturday from our professional sports handicappers at Touthouse.com.