Tennessee Volunteers vs. Georgia Bulldogs
Football Pick: Georgia -17 (September 27th 2014)
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The only thing that kept this from being a premium play is that this is a lot of points to lay in an SEC game, but I’m confident that Georgia is capable of winning here by more than 17. The loss at South Carolina really put a damper in the Bulldogs hopes of making the 4-team playoff, but it’s still a possibility if they can win the SEC. Something I believe is still very much alive.
You have to like how the Bulldogs responded to that loss to the Gamecocks as they came out an laid a number on Troy in a 66-0 beating. With an easy home game against Vanderbilt on deck and the threat of opening up conference play at 0-2, I look for Georgia to be all business in this one.
Tennessee did play a respectable game at Oklahoma in a 24-point loss that could have been a lot closer had they not thrown an interception in the endzone that was returned 100 yards for a score. However, they were clearly outmatched in terms of talent and as much respect as the Sooners are getting I believe Georgia is a better team. The Bulldogs have played two highly respected opponents in Clemson and South Carolina, which is a good indicator that their numbers are legit and that’s impressive when you consider Georgia is averaging 7.7 yards/rush and giving up just 2.9 yards/carry.
Sure the Volunteers were able to keep it close last year at home against the Bulldogs in a heartbreaking 31-34 overtime loss, but Georgia was without Todd Gurley and were decimated in that game by injuries. Gurley is in my opinion the best running back in the country. If Oklahoma can average 4.3 yards/carry on the ground, Gurley and the Bulldogs are more than capable of coming close to their 7.7 average.
There’s a big time system in favor of the Bulldogs based on their ability to run and Tennessee’s struggles on the ground. Home favorites who are averaging 230 or more rushing yards/game against an opponent that’s only averaging between 100-140 rushing yards/game are 45-19 ATS over the last 5 seasons. That’s a 70% system in favor of the Bulldogs. Take Georgia!
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Tennessee vs. Auburn
College Basketball Betting Pick: Auburn +4.5 -110 odds (March 5th 2014)
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Despite an 18-11 record overall including 9-7 in the SEC, Tennessee is on the inside of the proverbial bubble for the NCAA Tournament. The Volunteers have an RPI of 54 which has them on very thin ice so they cannot afford to lose any marginal games and this would be considered a bad loss. Tennessee is coming off a 38-point trouncing of Vanderbilt on Saturday as it doubled up the Commodores. Vanderbilt’s 38 points are the fewest scored by an opponent in Thompson-Boling Arena history. While this game is important for obvious reasons, coming off that game will be a challenge. Tennessee is just 3-7 on the road both straight up and against the number while going 1-3 ATS as a road favorite. Auburn meanwhile is coming off a big loss at Alabama and that was a big revenge game for the Tide as they were roughed up badly in the first meeting in Auburn. Now the Tigers are back home where they are 12-5 on the season including wins in four of their last six. Additionally, this the final home game for senior starters Chris Denson, Asauhn Dixon-Tatum and Allen Payne and they will also be out for revenge following an 11-point loss at Tennessee back in January. Tennessee is 6-15 ATS in its last 21 games after allowing 25 points or less in the first half last game while Auburn is 24-11 ATS in its last 25 games after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half and those two opposite efforts leads to this contrarian play on Wednesday where Auburn should come away with the outright upset. Play (740) Auburn Tigers
Florida vs. Tennessee
Basketball Betting Pick: Tennessee +2.5 -110 odds (February 11th 2014)
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At 15-8 on the season, the Tennessee Volunteers are certainly a bubble team in terms of making the NCAA Tournament. A win over Florida today would clearly put them on the right side of the bubble going forward.
The Vols will not be lacking any motivation after suffering their worst loss of the season in a 41-67 setback at Florida in their first meeting of the season when absolutely nothing went right. However, the Vols had won three straight over the Gators prior to that defeat despite being a 7.5-plus point underdog in all three contests.
Tennessee has been a dominant home team this season, It is 11-2 in all home games, outscoring opponents by an average of 16.8 points per game. It has impressive home wins over the likes of Virginia (87-52), Arkansas (81-74) and Ole Miss (86-70) this year to name a few.
The Vols are 14-3 ATS versus good rebounding teams that outrebound their opponents by four-plus boards per game over the past two seasons. That’s because they are a great rebounding team themselves, outrebounding opponents by nine boards per game this year.
Tennessee is 8-1 ATS as a home underdog or pick over the last three seasons. Dating back further, the Vols are 24-5 ATS as a home dog of 6 points or less in their last 29 games in this situation. Tennessee is 9-1 ATS revenging a loss where it scored less than 60 points over the last three years. Bet the Volunteers Tuesday.
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