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Posts Tagged ‘Tennessee Volunteers’

Tennessee vs. Missouri Basketball Point Spread Pick from Tony George: February 13th 2016

Tony George - College Basketball PickTennessee vs. Missouri
Basketball Point Spread Prediction: Volunteers -3 (February 13th 2016)

If you thought the Tiger football program went in the tank this year, the Hoops program, off a horrific year last year is in worse shape. The Tigers have dropped 9 straight games, and quite frankly this number should be 6 or higher. Mizzou has lost to Tennessee by 35 points the last 2 times they played, and that was last year and despite the Vols having only 1 road win in conference action, they can get one here. No depth, lack of scoring, not all that well coached, and no home floor advantage as attendance at The Zou which was once an unreal venue to play in, is like a ghost town now.

Vols rolled Auburn by 16 in their last game while Mizzou got pounded by Vandy, and I just do not see a Missouri team being able to keep pace with the Vols today who held Auburn to 45 points in their last game.

FREE PLAY on Tennessee -3

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Tennessee vs. Alabama Football Betting Pick from Jimmy Boyd: October 24th 2015

Jimmy Boyd - College Football PickTennessee Volunteers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
College Football Pick: Tennessee +15.5 (October 24th 2015)

Alabama has reclaimed it’s status as one of the top teams in the SEC West and after last week’s blowout win on the road against Texas A&M in a game many thought the Tide would lose outright, the betting public is sure to be on the Crimson Tide at home against the Volunteers. I think it’s resulted in an inflated line here that has to make you like Tennessee catching over 2 touchdowns.

The Volunteers may be just 3-3 on the season, but could very easily be 6-0 and ranked right there alongside Alabama in the Top 10. Tennessee blew a 14-point lead at home to Oklahoma in a 24-31 overtime loss in Week 2, they then managed to blow a 13-point lead with just over 4 minutes to play in a 27-28 loss at Florida. Keeping the trend going, they jumped out to a 14-0 lead at home against Arkansas, only to lose 20-24. The Volunteers finally got the monkey off their back in close games, erasing a 21-point deficit in a 38-31 win at home against Georgia.

You could make a strong argument that the Volunteers are the most talented team in the SEC East and that’s where you really start to see the value here, as Alabama was a 1.5-point dog at Georgia, which means they would have been only a 2.5 to 3 point home favorite against the Bulldogs. Tennessee isn’t just capable of keeping it close enough to cover, but the Volunteers could actually pull off the upset.

One of the things you have to like about Tennessee is the scheduling advantage that they have going into this game. The Volunteers are coming off a bye and you can be assured that they have used every bit of the extra week of preparation to prepare for this game. Alabama on the other hand is coming off a huge game on the road against Texas A&M and have an even bigger game on deck against undefeated and No. 5 ranked LSU. A game that could potentially propel the Crimson Tide into a 1st place tie in the SEC West if they were to beat both the Volunteers and Tigers.

Something else to keep in mind with the Crimson Tide’s big win against Texas A&M, is Alabama only outgained the Aggies by 80 yards and had just 1 more first down (17-16). Texas A&M beat themselves with 4 turnovers, three of which were interceptions that the Crimson Tide returned for a touchdown. The Alabama offense only accounted for 2 touchdowns and 2 field goals.

We also find a strong system in play favoring a fade of the Crimson Tide. Home favorites of 10.5 to 21 points that are giving up 2.75 or less yards/carry against the run are just 24-53 (31%) ATS after allowing 40 or less rushing yards in their last game since 1992. Alabama is 0-4 ATS this season at home, including a recent 13-point win over Arkansas as an identical 15.5-point favorite to what we see here and just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games after covering their last contest. Take Tennessee!

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Georgia vs. Tennessee: Brandon Shively betting the Vols +3 on October 10th 2015

Brandon Shively - College Football PickGeorgia Bulldogs vs. Tennessee Volunteers
Football Betting Pick: Tennessee +3 (October 10th 2015)

Georgia comes into this game beat up physically and demoralized after losing to Alabama last week. That was a game that the school really wanted to win. Now, they have to travel to Knoxville to face a Tennessee Vols team that is in dire need of a win and with a bye week on deck, they will be fully focused on this game.

The Vols come into this game only 2-3 on the season. They have had a double digit lead in all three of their losses (vs. Oklahoma, Florida, and Arkansas). So this is a team that is VERY close to being 5-0, but instead is 2-3. If they were 5-0, then the Vols would be at least a 3 point favorite here. But instead, we are catching them getting points at home getting great value. Butch Jones is 3-1 ATS as a homedog with the Vols.

Looking at last year’s game, the Vols almost upset Georgia on the road losing 35-32. This is a much improved Vols team this season from when that game was played last year in Week 4. Worley was the QB for the Vols at the time. Joshua Dobbs gives the Vols much more flexibility and chances to make explosive plays with his legs. Also the Vols offensive line is a lot better. Through 5 games, the Vols have only allowed 10 sacks. At this time last year, the quarterback was getting clobbered at a record pace.

Georgia was +16 in turnover margin last year. It is hard to duplicate such success 2 years in a row. This season they are -even- in turnover margin.

The Georgia quarterback Grayson Lambert is making only his 2nd career road start in the SEC. His first was @ Vandy a few weeks ago and Georgia won 31-14, but Lambert was only 11-for-21 for 116 yards. Against Alabama last week, Lambert was 10-for-24 for 86 yards only. He best games this season were vs. Southern, Louisiana Monroe, and South Carolina. Point being Lambert is not ready to step up vs. stiffer competition. Nick Chubb can’t do it all himself either.

In Georgia’s only road game this season, they beat Vanderbilt, 31-14, but needed a pick 6 and a punt return for a touchdown to beat them. The offense only scored 17 points. Also a terrible Vandy pass offense had 295 yards passing against the Bulldogs defense which is another red flag.

Special teams: The Bulldogs special teams is way down this season. They rank last in the nation in kickoff returns (14 yards per return). They rank 119th in punting at only 32 yards per punt and they also rank 87th and 85th in punt and kickoff coverage. Tennessee is ranked #1 in kickoffs returns and #6 in punting. Big Special Teams advantage for the Vols.

Look for a motivated Tennessee team to come out of town with a cover this Saturday vs. a Georgia team that is beat up and still trying to get over their embarrassing loss to Alabama last week.

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Brandon Shively’s Football Betting Pick: Tennesse vs. Florida: September 26th 2015

Brandon Shively - College Football PickTennessee Volunteers vs. Florida Gators
College Football Betting Pick: Tennessee -119 odds (September 26th 2015)

This is the year that Tennessee to go into Gainesville and gets the win and this is my reasoning behind it.

In Florida’s last 10 wins vs. Tennessee, Florida has outrushed Tennessee. I think this is the year that Tennessee has more rushing yards than Florida, and in effect get the win here. The Vols have the better running backs, offensive line, and quarterback.

Through 3 games, Tennessee is averaging 246 yards a game with Jalen Hurd and Kamura in the backfield toting the load.

Last year, Tennessee only had 28 rushing yards vs. Florida. It was the 5th game of the season and the offensive line was VERY young at this point at time as the Vols had only 6 returning starters on the line to begin the season. This year the O-line is much more experienced and they have a much more dynamic QB in Joshua Dobbs. Justin Worley was the QB last year when the Vols played the Gators. (Worley got sacked 6 times and the box score read 7 rushes for -45 yards). Joshua Dobbs has the quickness to escape the pocket and use his feet to make plays.

Suspensions: Florida’s Jalen Tabor is suspended for this game. Tabor made a big play in last year’s game as he sacked, stripped, and recovered a fumble by Worley that was the turning point in last year’s game. Also Florida’s backup QB Treon Harris is suspended for this game. Harris was also instrumental in last year’s win vs. the Vols.

Additional Key Stats: Tennessee is ranked 8th in the nation in turnover margin and ranked 3rd in kickoff returns.

While Florida still has a stingy defense, it is the offense that is still a work in progress. While Tennessee had the inexperienced offensive line last year, it is Florida this season that has the inexperience on the line as they only have one returning starter on the line. Running back Kelvin Taylor is only averaging 3.9 yards a carry and that has been against lesser teams of New Mexico State, East Carolina, and Kentucky.

Tennessee starting senior safety LaDarrell McNeil returned from an injury last week with an interception against West Carolina. Curt Maggitt, the Vols senior linebacker, is out for the season but he is travelling with the team on Saturday and he will be the team’s emotional and vocal leader on the sideline.

Tennessee has had an extra week to re-focus after the Oklahoma loss by playing Western Carolina last week. The Vols are the more talented and experienced team at most of the skill positions in this game. While this game is being played in Gainesville, it is a 3:30 PM EST start time and I don’t think it is as much as an advantage as if it was being played at night time under the lights.

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