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Posts Tagged ‘UL Monroe Warhawks’

Brandon Shively betting Arkansas State -20 over UL Monroe on October 29th 2016

UL MONROE VS. ARKANSAS STATEUL Monroe Warhawks vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves
Football Betting Pick: Arkansas State -20 (October 29th 2016)

Arkansas State is a team that is being overlooked somewhat because of their 0-4 start. The Red Wolves have since won two straight games and are playing with a week of rest and looked like a completely different football team two weeks when they held South Alabama to 7 points in a 17-7 win. This bye week now marks their second of the season as they had a week off before playing Georgia Southern in a weekday game. I feel this is a very advantageous part of their schedule, playing their 4th consecutive home game and a spot they can dominate against a struggling UL-Monroe team. The Red Wolves last went on the road September 16th at Utah State.

Arkansas State is now 2-0 in the Sun Belt and looking to reclaim the championship after winning the Sun Belt title last year. The Red Wolves are 6-0 ATS the last 6 meetings against UL-Monroe. Arkansas State has won 80% of their games and covered 70% of the time from Game 6 and out over the last 5 years. They have now won 11 consecutive conference games after the win against South Alabama with ALL 11 wins coming by 10 points or more with an average score of 43-23. Arkansas State has finally got settled with a quarterback as that was their problem the first few games. Justice Hansen is an Oklahoma transfer who has a big arm. He has thrown 6 interceptions which is the one negative but I think he is the most talented QB in the Sun Belt and has turned the corner. The UL-Monroe secondary in not a threat and Hansen should have a field day behind one of the most experienced offensive lines in the country.

Monroe’s starting quarterback Garrett Smith is out with an injury. That leaves the job up to two freshmen quarterbacks and I can’t see either one doing much damage against a defense led by a bulk of juniors and seniors of Arkansas State. Chris Odom and Ja’von Rolland-Jones have combined for 8.5 sacks, 10.5 tackles for loss, and 5 QB hurries. Look for them to take advantage of a shaky UL-Monroe offensive line and force the young Monroe quarterback(s) out of the pocket which will lead to some bad throws and mistakes. All of this should lead into a few turnovers that the Red Wolves should capitalize on.

The UL-Monroe defense is giving up 297 rushing yards a game and 6.2 yards per rush as this is a defense that only returned 3 starters from last year and lost their entire front 7 from 2015. They only have 3 interceptions on the year They have not covered their last 4 games and are in a tough spot here playing their 5th road game of their last 7 games. It’s been a tough go for 1st year coach Matt Viator and his coordinators who all came from FCS schools.

  • Arkansas State has put up an average of 512 yards of offense the last 4 meetings, with an average final score of 43-18. (1* Arkansas State)

Wake Forest vs. UL Monroe Betting Odds & Pick from Freddy Wills: August 28th 2014

Freddy Wills - College Football PickWake Forest vs. UL Monroe
Betting Pick: Under 45.5 -110 odds (August 28th 2014)

Defense is always ahead of offense at this point in the year and for both Wake Forest and LA Monroe, I think offense is going to be their biggest uphill battle in the early going especially since they both have to replace a veteran starting QB. These teams met in a 21-19 battle last year and I don’t see any of these offenses putting up much. Wake lost all of their top offensive starters and only averaged 18.3 per game last year while their defense is in good shape particularly in the secondary which just didn’t give up big plays a year ago.

Dave Clawson takes over for Wake Forest and has a history for turning programs around, but not in year 1. This will be an ugly game I think Wake will hang in there with their defense, but LA Monroe will hold on. Wake is under 31-15 in their last 46 non conference games and 21-7 on the under in their last 28 overall.

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Arkansas State vs. UL Monroe Football Pick & Point Spread: November 8th 2012

Arkansas State vs. UL Monroe
Football Pick: Arkansas -7 (November 8th 2012)

Since losing their conference opener 26-13 at home to Western Kentucky, the Red Wolves have rattled off four consecutive wins over Sun Belt foes. They are 3-1 ATS in these games. Going back to last season, they are on a 9-3 ATS run in conference play.

Arkansas State has won three of its four home games this season, and its last two home wins have come by at least seven points. It has been an all-around solid bet at 15-7 ATS in its last 22 games.

It is also worth noting that the Warhawks are only 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games versus a team with a winning home record.

The Red Wolves have won two in a row and three of their last four against Louisiana-Monroe. They have won their two home games during this stretch by eight and 14 points, respectively.

Arkansas State won last season’s meeting 24-19 on the road despite a poor performance from quarterback Ryan Aplin, who completed 27 of 43 passes for 261 yards with a touchdown and three interceptions.

I don’t anticipate Aplin playing that poorly again. The senior has completed 65.1 percent of his passes for 2,169 yards with 14 touchdowns and two interceptions this season. He could be poised for a big day throwing the football against a Louisiana-Monroe defense that ranks 104th in the country against the pass with 263.9 yards allowed per game.

Arkansas State is on a 9-2 ATS run versus poor pass defenses that allow a completion percentage of 58% or higher. They have defeated these teams by an average score of 37.4 to 19.9. Lay the points.

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