UL Monroe Warhawks vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves
Football Betting Pick: Arkansas State -20 (October 29th 2016)
CLICK HERE FOR BRANDON SHIVELY’S EXPERT COLLEGE FOOTBALL PICKS
Arkansas State is a team that is being overlooked somewhat because of their 0-4 start. The Red Wolves have since won two straight games and are playing with a week of rest and looked like a completely different football team two weeks when they held South Alabama to 7 points in a 17-7 win. This bye week now marks their second of the season as they had a week off before playing Georgia Southern in a weekday game. I feel this is a very advantageous part of their schedule, playing their 4th consecutive home game and a spot they can dominate against a struggling UL-Monroe team. The Red Wolves last went on the road September 16th at Utah State.
- COMPLIMENTARY PICKS – CLICK HERE
Arkansas State is now 2-0 in the Sun Belt and looking to reclaim the championship after winning the Sun Belt title last year. The Red Wolves are 6-0 ATS the last 6 meetings against UL-Monroe. Arkansas State has won 80% of their games and covered 70% of the time from Game 6 and out over the last 5 years. They have now won 11 consecutive conference games after the win against South Alabama with ALL 11 wins coming by 10 points or more with an average score of 43-23. Arkansas State has finally got settled with a quarterback as that was their problem the first few games. Justice Hansen is an Oklahoma transfer who has a big arm. He has thrown 6 interceptions which is the one negative but I think he is the most talented QB in the Sun Belt and has turned the corner. The UL-Monroe secondary in not a threat and Hansen should have a field day behind one of the most experienced offensive lines in the country.
- WHO ARE THE BEST NCAAF HANDICAPPERS? CLICK HERE
Monroe’s starting quarterback Garrett Smith is out with an injury. That leaves the job up to two freshmen quarterbacks and I can’t see either one doing much damage against a defense led by a bulk of juniors and seniors of Arkansas State. Chris Odom and Ja’von Rolland-Jones have combined for 8.5 sacks, 10.5 tackles for loss, and 5 QB hurries. Look for them to take advantage of a shaky UL-Monroe offensive line and force the young Monroe quarterback(s) out of the pocket which will lead to some bad throws and mistakes. All of this should lead into a few turnovers that the Red Wolves should capitalize on.
The UL-Monroe defense is giving up 297 rushing yards a game and 6.2 yards per rush as this is a defense that only returned 3 starters from last year and lost their entire front 7 from 2015. They only have 3 interceptions on the year They have not covered their last 4 games and are in a tough spot here playing their 5th road game of their last 7 games. It’s been a tough go for 1st year coach Matt Viator and his coordinators who all came from FCS schools.
- Arkansas State has put up an average of 512 yards of offense the last 4 meetings, with an average final score of 43-18. (1* Arkansas State)