Western Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt
College Football Pick: Vanderbilt -1.5 (September 3rd 2015)
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Western Kentucky has nine starters back on defense– a defense that ranked 111th against the run, 121st against the pass and 120th in total yards per game allowed (128 teams ). So having those 9 starters back, from that type of unit may not necessarily be a good thing. HC Derek Mason has placed the Commodores dead last in the conference according to alot of pundits. But Im not sold on the fact that the Commodores are that bad of a team. I know their opponents in game 1 of their non conference schedule Western Kentucky is one one of the most explosive College Football teams in the nation behind Brandon Doughty, but Im betting the Commodores 2nd year 3-4 defense will improve enough under Masons tutelage to slow down this monster attack. Remember Vandy has a defensive front seven that returns five starters and they all play tenacious smash mouth football that is contagious to the rest of D . Yes, I know Vandy has alot of question marks on offense, but even the most pedestrian attack has been able to slice and dice the Toppers D in the past, and until they show improvement Im betting against them.
Play on Vanderbilt to cover 1/2 unit comp selection
Last season I finsihed my College Football Camapign 4th overall in the nation, and on a 86-56 61% run and Im expecting another viable season in 2015-16.
South Carolina vs. Vanderbilt
College Basketball Pick: Vanderbilt -3.5 (February 7th 2015)
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I like Vandy at home this afternoon as they play their best ball at home. The NBA scouts will be at this game checking out NBA prospect Damian James who is a beast under the basket. Memorial Gymnasium is a tough place for any college team to play at and is frustrating for opposing coaches as well because the benches are located on the baseline instead of on the sidelines.
South Carolina is still winless on the road in the SEC. Their biggest problem is being able to put the ball in the basket. Sure, they still play defense but when you can’t score it doesn’t matter how good of defense you play. On the road they only average 61 ppg on 39% shooting from the floor. It gets worse as they are only shooting 27% from the 3 point line on the road and 58.5% from the foul line.
South Carolina has a few injuries today also and while these two players are reserves (McKie and Sheppard), it still makes less room for error. South Carolina has lost ALL of their SEC road games by 3 points or more and I think that Vandy should be able to win this one by at least 7 points.
Vandy shoots the ball 47% from the floor at home. They are a good free throw shooting team also at 74% at home which is important down the stretch of the game when South Carolina figures to be fouling them. Vandy has won 7 of the last 10 matchups vs. South Carolina and they have all been by 7 points or more. I think we are getting excellent value with Vandy today laying this small number.
South Carolina is 0-4 ATS their last 4 road games and 1-9 ATS in their last 10 vs. the SEC. Vandy is coming off a confidence building win over Florida and I look for them to keep the momentum going. This is a squad that has young guards who can run the floor, shoot the three ball, and get the ball down low to either James or the 7 footer Kornet. Look for Vandy to roll easily in this one.
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Florida Gators vs. Vanderbilt Commodores
College Basketball Pick: Florida -130 odds (February 3rd 2015)
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The Gators have won back to back games, and one of those came on the road at Alabama. They have won two of their four road games since the start of conference play, and they play at Vanderbilt tonight.
The Commodores sit at the bottom of the SEC standings with a 1-7 record in conference play. Vanderbilt defeated Auburn in it’s first SEC game of the season, but has since lost seven straight.
Florida has won six of the last seven in this series, including two of three at Nashville. They defeated Vandy by a score of 57-54 at Memorial Gymnasium last February.
Vanderbilt hasn’t shown any indication that they can defeat any of the top tier teams in the league, even at home. The Gators come in playing well, and I expect them to edge out a win here against an inferior opponent.