South Carolina vs. Vanderbilt
College Basketball Pick: Vanderbilt -3.5 (February 7th 2015)
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I like Vandy at home this afternoon as they play their best ball at home. The NBA scouts will be at this game checking out NBA prospect Damian James who is a beast under the basket. Memorial Gymnasium is a tough place for any college team to play at and is frustrating for opposing coaches as well because the benches are located on the baseline instead of on the sidelines.
South Carolina is still winless on the road in the SEC. Their biggest problem is being able to put the ball in the basket. Sure, they still play defense but when you can’t score it doesn’t matter how good of defense you play. On the road they only average 61 ppg on 39% shooting from the floor. It gets worse as they are only shooting 27% from the 3 point line on the road and 58.5% from the foul line.
South Carolina has a few injuries today also and while these two players are reserves (McKie and Sheppard), it still makes less room for error. South Carolina has lost ALL of their SEC road games by 3 points or more and I think that Vandy should be able to win this one by at least 7 points.
Vandy shoots the ball 47% from the floor at home. They are a good free throw shooting team also at 74% at home which is important down the stretch of the game when South Carolina figures to be fouling them. Vandy has won 7 of the last 10 matchups vs. South Carolina and they have all been by 7 points or more. I think we are getting excellent value with Vandy today laying this small number.
South Carolina is 0-4 ATS their last 4 road games and 1-9 ATS in their last 10 vs. the SEC. Vandy is coming off a confidence building win over Florida and I look for them to keep the momentum going. This is a squad that has young guards who can run the floor, shoot the three ball, and get the ball down low to either James or the 7 footer Kornet. Look for Vandy to roll easily in this one.
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