Vanderbilt vs. Purdue
Basketball Betting Pick: Vanderbilt +6 points (December 22nd 2015)
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The Vanderbilt Commodores have already proven that they can play with anyone in the country. They are 7-3 this season with the 3 losses coming to Kansas by 7, Baylor by 2 and Dayton by 5. They have crushed all other comers as six of their seven wins have come by 22 or more points. I expect them to hang around with the Purdue Boilermakers tonight. This is a team that just lost 68-74 to Butler on Saturday and is vulnerable. The Boilermakers certainly shouldn’t be laying 6 points to a team of the Commodores’ caliber. Vanderbilt is 16-3 ATS after allowing 25 points or less in the first half of its last game over the last 3 seasons. The Commodores are 14-3 ATS versus teams who average 6 or fewer steals per game over the last 3 years. The Commodores are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games. Vanderbilt is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 vs. teams with winning records. The Commodores are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games overall. Take Vanderbilt.
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Vanderbilt Commodores vs. South Carolina Gamecocks
College Football Pick: Vanderbilt +3 (October 17th 2015)
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The South Carolina Gamecocks are a mess right now. They have lost four of their last five with three of those losses coming by 14 points or more. It’s no wonder Steve Spurrier decided to step down. But unlike most coaching changes, this one will have a negative effect on the Gamecocks. These players hated to see him go, whereas a lot of times players are open to a change. I look for the Gamecocks to come out flat Saturday knowing that their head coach gave up on them. They play one of the most improved teams in the country in Vanderbilt, which could be 5-0 right now with the way it has played. It suffered a 2-point loss to Western Kentucky despite outgaining the Hilltoppers by 147 yards. It lost to Georgia by 17 in a game that was closer than the final score as it was only outgained by 22 yards. Then it covered as 27-point underdogs at Ole Miss in an 11-point loss, which might have been the Commodores’ most impressive showing yet despite coming in a losing effort. The Commodores are hungry to end a 6-game losing streak to the Gemecocks in which five of the six losses came by 14 points or less. Vanderbilt is 20-6 ATS in its last 26 games off a loss by 6 points or less. The Commodores are 30-11 ATS in their last 41 road games after playing their last game on the road, 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games overall, and 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Take Vanderbilt.
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Georgia vs. Vanderbilt
College Football Prediction: Vanderbilt +21.5 (September 12th 2015)
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Vanderbilt will be one of the most improved teams in the SEC this season. Derek Mason was in a tough spot last year when he inherited just 10 returning starters and was taking over for a Vanderbilt legend in James Franklin. A 3-9 season was not surprising at all as it was an obvious rebuilding year. But now the Commodores have 18 starters back, which is tied with Tennessee for the most in the SEC. They showed well in their opener in a 12-14 home loss to Western Kentucky. They should have won that game as they outgained the Hilltoppers by 139 total yards. They limited a WKU offense that scored 39.9 points per game and average 510 yards per game last season to just 14 points and 246 total yards. Considering WKU went on to beat a very good Louisiana Tech team 41-38 in Week 2, that effort against the Hilltoppers now looks all the more impressive. Georgia is a power running team that does not put it in the air often. That makes it more difficult for the Bulldogs to cover these big spreads. Vanderbilt held WKU to just 1.6 yards per carry last week and is sound against the run. The last time these teams played in Nashville in 2013, Vanderbilt pulled off the upset with a 31-27 win as 6-point home dogs. I look for the Commodores to stay within three touchdowns in this one. Take Vanderbilt.
Western Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt
Football Betting Prediction: Western Kentucky -2 (September 3rd 2015)
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This selection isn’t so much due to liking Western Kentucky, but “playing against” Vanderbilt. Western Kentucky’s been a solid team for 2 straight years, going 8-4 SU in 2014 & 8-5 SU last season while beating Central Michigan in their Bowl game. On the other hand, Vandy ended the 2014 season at 3-9 SU, with their only 3 wins coming against outgunned football programs like U. Mass, Charlestown South & Old Dominion- All are more known for their Basketball teams than their Football programs. Vandy averaged just 17 points per game last year and was held to 17 points or less in 8 of their 12 games. They ended at 0-8 SU in the Dog role and that’s exactly where they find themselves to open this season- As home Dogs hosting Western Kentucky. On Thursday Western Kentucky starts their 2nd season behind HC Jeff Brohm, who finally got everything together near the end of last season while finishing on a 5-0 SU & 3-2 ATS winning run. Combine last season’s late improvement with that confidence building Bowl victory and you MUST back Western Kentucky to beat up on a rebuilding Vandy team.