Towson vs. Hofstra
College Basketball Pick: Hofstra -15.5 (February 1st 2012)

This may seem like a lot of points for a 1-10 team to be laying but I think this is a statement game for Hofstra. It has been a miserable season for the Pride which were picked to finish in the middle of the pack in the CAA but have dropped 10 of 11. Taking a look at their overall victories shows no quality wins with the exception of a victory over Cleveland St. but that does not matter as we are not asking them to beat a quality team. Hofstra needs an inflated win as it heads into the final month of the season.

Towson is coming off a win on Saturday against MC-Wilmington and you can only imagine how the Seahawks must be feeling right now. The victory snapped a 41-game losing streak for the Tigers and while it may have restored some confidence, this team is not good and if anything ,we will see a massive letdown. Of Towson’s first 22 losses this season, 16 came by more points than it is getting in this game. Overall, the Tigers scoring margin is a dismal -20.5 ppg.

Hofstra is only six games better but it cannot be looked at it that way because it has been involved in many close losses. Eight of its 10 conference losses have come by eight points or fewer with three coming by a possession. Overall the Pride are getting outscored by just 1.6 ppg and that is not too bad for a team that is nine games under .500. Even more impressive is that the schedule has been brutal with their last six losses coming against teams in fifth place in the CAA or better.

The difference here will be the Hofstra defense against the Towson offense. The Pride have allowed 59.8 ppg on 39.8 percent shooting over their last five games and those are similar averages in what they have allowed at home all season. The Tigers offense put up 66 points against the Seahawks, the first time they have scored more than 60 points since December 20th. On the season they are averaging only 49.6 ppg on 36.6 percent shooting and those numbers drop to 46.8 ppg on 34 percent shooting on the road. 3* (750) Hofstra Pride. If you enjoyed this Towson vs. Hofstra pick from Matt Fargo, be sure to purchase his expert sports picks at Touthouse.com

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